TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Spread: St. Louis City SC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
St. Louis City SCof St. Louis City SC, Los Angeles Galaxy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,549
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,439

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,549 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis City SC75c801.22$602 inWon+$199.3116453%87 W · 77 L+20.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+40%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Los Angeles Galaxy17c717.7$121 inLost-$121.0871443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis City SC18c532.55$98 inWon+$434.073,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Los Angeles Galaxy16c254.22$41 inLost-$40.6938246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed St. Louis City SC12c240.72$29 inWon+$211.831,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Los Angeles Galaxy74c216.85$159 inLost-$159.4498945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Los Angeles Galaxy19c130.46$24 inLost-$24.344350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed St. Louis City SC13c116$15 inWon+$100.9232848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked St. Louis City SC45c114.67$52 inWon+$62.6787154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed St. Louis City SC11c99.98$11 inWon+$88.9910612.3%13 W · 93 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Galaxy46c95.71$44 inLost-$44.0353040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed St. Louis City SC27c88.93$24 inWon+$64.922634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed St. Louis City SC50c62.8$31 inWon+$31.6810045%45 W · 55 L+18.7wins+0.19per pick26cpaid+97.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Los Angeles Galaxy28c57$16 inLost-$16.171,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed St. Louis City SC27c37.8$10 inWon+$27.7496756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0570…16c9backed St. Louis City SC41c28.07$12 inWon+$16.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+142.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed St. Louis City SC58c26.32$15 inWon+$10.962965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Los Angeles Galaxy67c17.55$12 inLost-$11.7614549.7%72 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.