Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x975410bcb469cf5e0683e4f039926bb25693876bf58fca6ecea91727e4324835
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 2,329$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.99 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 25c | 1,440$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 24c | 790.36$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.9 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 78c | 395.15$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.71 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bc…1523backed Over | 25c | 361.17$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Over | 21c | 352$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 76c | 220.64$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 15c | 210.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 79c | 168$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 24c | 151$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 40c | 150.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 22c | 133.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 76c | 132.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…f0a6backed Under | 77c | 64.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 75c | 60.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 78c | 56.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 75c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Over | 40c | 34.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 67c | 29.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 77c | 24.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Under | 76c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 76c | 17.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 47 | 80.9%38 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 70cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 4.5this page
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 1.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: St. Louis City SC O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC: St. Louis City SC O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)St. Louis City SC won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)St. Louis City SC won
- Spread: St. Louis City SC (-1.5)St. Louis City SC won
- Spread: St. Louis City SC (-2.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.