Champions League · resolved market
KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc6444b2dfb9e7a3ddf546bdd63c2622053a5c3cf07c1dffc457e6504dcece41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 14c | 6,747$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.59 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 69c | 6,492$4,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,489.39 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 71c | 4,436$3,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.81 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 30c | 1,666$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.2 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 31c | 1,612$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.28 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed Over | 34c | 1,359$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 59c | 1,000$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.54 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35b1…8962backed Over | 68c | 873.25$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 31c | 771.9$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.5 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 32c | 768$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.24 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 11c | 737.02$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 58c | 686$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.61 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 16c | 637.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 60c | 630.74$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.57 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 53c | 489.8$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.55 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 34c | 475.63$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.11 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 21c | 389.15$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.95 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 78c | 382.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.1 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 49c | 346.88$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 52c | 340$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.1 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 54c | 299.95$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.97 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 30c | 298.28$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.8 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 47c | 288.08$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.49 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 12c | 286.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 67c | 283.3$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.18 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 51c | 273.54$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 30c | 266$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.2 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 13c | 233.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 31c | 230.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.38 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked Under | 49c | 225.7$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.13 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 51c | 172.54$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.07 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 51c | 163$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 68c | 162.91$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 114 | 64.9%74 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 138.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 31c | 137.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.28 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 35c | 136.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 66c | 128.14$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 50c | 99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 31c | 84.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 31c | 84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 23c | 70.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 31c | 63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x586b…52d9backed Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Over | 34c | 56.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 64c | 49.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 49c | 39.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 27c | 38.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -14.3wins | -0.38per pick | 40cpaid | -94.7%equal weight | 25-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 35c | 35.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 48c | 30.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 29.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 1.5this page
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: FK Kauno Žalgiris O/U 0.5Under won
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: FK Kauno Žalgiris O/U 2.5Under won
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 0.5Under won
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 2.5Under won
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 3.5Under won
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FK Kauno Žalgiris (-1.5)KÍ won
- Spread: FK Kauno Žalgiris (-2.5)KÍ won
- Spread: KÍ (-1.5)FK Kauno Žalgiris won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.