Champions League · resolved market
KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97e55faef965949316ebf6b50cb1f607c11640d707f9cab43b5ba6466b05beff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 40c | 2,429$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.55 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Over | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 8c | 1,134$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.04 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 893.75$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.3 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 32c | 868.06$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.08 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 56c | 697.59$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.79 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 32c | 690.63$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.63 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 64c | 657.14$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.67 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 60c | 583.33$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked Under | 60c | 583.33$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…6d2fbacked Over | 54c | 537$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.93 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 68c | 503.04$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.07 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6da…5ccfbacked Over | 64c | 422.73$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 65c | 376.96$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.28 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 67c | 358.53$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 114 | 64.9%74 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 35c | 353.39$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.61 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x834c…593abacked Over | 34c | 239.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 48c | 208.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x586b…52d9backed Over | 42c | 187.32$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 54c | 186.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.2 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 64c | 168.34$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 69c | 127$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 53c | 120.37$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.21 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaefc…f599backed Over | 52c | 91.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 62c | 72.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +43%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed Under | 45c | 72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 72c | 67.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Over | 36c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 32c | 50.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…58e8backed Over | 42c | 38.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 72c | 38.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 34c | 36.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -14.3wins | -0.38per pick | 40cpaid | -94.7%equal weight | 25-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed Under | 64c | 31.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 65c | 27.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Under | 62c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +7.1wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 73c | 24.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 0.5this page
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: FK Kauno Žalgiris O/U 0.5Under won
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: FK Kauno Žalgiris O/U 2.5Under won
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 1.5Under won
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 2.5Under won
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 3.5Under won
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FK Kauno Žalgiris (-1.5)KÍ won
- Spread: FK Kauno Žalgiris (-2.5)KÍ won
- Spread: KÍ (-1.5)FK Kauno Žalgiris won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.