Champions League · resolved market
KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb51a81d03e549d3953feee67db642bd2063e602d215a1615a301d8fd2c001c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 41c | 4,679$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.24 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 42c | 3,450$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.63 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 59c | 2,397$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.81 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 5c | 2,095$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 56c | 1,782$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.14 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 42c | 1,200$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.54 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 43c | 1,155$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 59c | 909.06$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.92 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Under | 57c | 906$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.28 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 57c | 865.31$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.05 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 10c | 807.62$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 56c | 782.4$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.16 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 67c | 671.15$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.48 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 68c | 640.9$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.76 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 57c | 614.42$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.2 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 59c | 554.73$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.17 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 8c | 500.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc2…9343backed Over | 41c | 491.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked Under | 58c | 485.02$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.71 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 43c | 480.21$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.49 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 42c | 453.47$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.16 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…3333backed Under | 60c | 326.58$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 59c | 256$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.96 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 55c | 200$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 59c | 199.55$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.66 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 57c | 175$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +54%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 60c | 171$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.36 | 245 | 45.3%111 W · 134 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d8…3b2bbacked Under | 60c | 165.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 60c | 159.09$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 44c | 147.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 43c | 120.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 59c | 103.55$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 60c | 100.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 77c | 94.34$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 77c | 73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0811…1870backed Over | 42c | 71.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3a5abacked Over | 17c | 69.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 61c | 67.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 73c | 61.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 144 | 54.9%79 W · 65 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 59c | 53.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…674cbacked Over | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 41c | 46.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 42c | 37.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 57c | 36.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 65c | 34.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd60…c454backed Under | 61c | 32.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Over | 40c | 27.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 67c | 25.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed Under | 58c | 24.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 57c | 18.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 2.5this page
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: FK Kauno Žalgiris O/U 0.5Under won
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: FK Kauno Žalgiris O/U 2.5Under won
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 0.5Under won
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 1.5Under won
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 3.5Under won
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FK Kauno Žalgiris (-1.5)KÍ won
- Spread: FK Kauno Žalgiris (-2.5)KÍ won
- Spread: KÍ (-1.5)FK Kauno Žalgiris won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.