Champions League · resolved market
KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94ed58a6d28b1cae9a7297f7344eaf52bee2c11d4ccdb1ad80570b6b6b46ac82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked No | 52c | 776$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.48 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 49c | 683.95$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.55 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 50c | 417.11$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.56 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 50c | 351.8$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 47c | 309$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.23 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa796…7673backed Yes | 49c | 275.27$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 14c | 241$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417f…d9a9backed Yes | 46c | 210$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 51c | 206.03$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.99 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 53c | 188$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.36 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 69c | 185.17$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 51c | 179.51$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.97 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 51c | 178.01$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.22 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked No | 58c | 171.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.53 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 34c | 160.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 50c | 151.8$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 51c | 128.26$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 48c | 124$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 14c | 90.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 29c | 89.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 50c | 77.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 50c | 53.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 53c | 52.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 53c | 50.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 50c | 36.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 53c | 35.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…a0f3backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce3…c36cbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: FK Kauno Žalgiris O/U 0.5Under won
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: FK Kauno Žalgiris O/U 2.5Under won
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 0.5Under won
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 1.5Under won
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 2.5Under won
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 3.5Under won
- KÍ vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FK Kauno Žalgiris (-1.5)KÍ won
- Spread: FK Kauno Žalgiris (-2.5)KÍ won
- Spread: KÍ (-1.5)FK Kauno Žalgiris won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.