Fifa International · resolved market
Egypt leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e2cb898f8b6edaeecab972ed214515c201e6b70737899a254a196b564cece80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,137,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,304,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,137,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Yes | 10c | 253,332$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228,332.26 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 198,627$137,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137,766.2 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 74c | 63,898$47,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,422.83 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 63,734$14,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,302.81 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 37,395$10,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,645.8 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 80c | 31,756$25,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,386.99 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 64c | 31,254$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,254.02 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 45c | 30,072$13,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,493.29 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x654a…cc32backed Yes | 9c | 12,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,920.18 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Yes | 55c | 12,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.97 | 240 | 58.8%141 W · 99 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked No | 2c | 10,204$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.08 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 28c | 7,292$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.92 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 77c | 7,097$5,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.27 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Yes | 73c | 6,816$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.59 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked No | 1c | 6,590$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.4 | 251 | 25.1%63 W · 188 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 37c | 6,542$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.14 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked No | 43c | 5,924$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,538.46 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f67…a203backed Yes | 58c | 5,658$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.33 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 44c | 5,327$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,978.11 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 72c | 5,112$3,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,687.1 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…ab37backed No | 40c | 5,051$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 30c | 5,006$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.51 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 27c | 4,873$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.69 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 54c | 4,803$2,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.63 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 51c | 4,718$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.74 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…af1bbacked Yes | 56c | 4,700$2,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.59 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 9c | 4,457$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,055.87 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9340…ae1dbacked Yes | 9c | 4,282$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,897.07 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 9c | 4,125$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,758.93 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…49afbacked Yes | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 190 | 37.4%71 W · 119 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…2617backed No | 34c | 4,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 2c | 3,615$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.34 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ba…fe72backed Yes | 11c | 3,217$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.93 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 47c | 3,059$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.32 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 9c | 2,978$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,710.28 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 53c | 2,902$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.65 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 4c | 2,850$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.96 | 421 | 26.4%111 W · 310 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Yes | 59c | 2,406$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.39 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…e264backed Yes | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.22 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed No | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 55c | 1,840$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.63 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 44c | 1,592$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.19 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed No | 1c | 1,560$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 38c | 1,304$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.03 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…bad1backed Yes | 9c | 1,263$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.63 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…c807backed No | 72c | 1,231$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.02 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed No | 6c | 1,200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 372 | 42.5%158 W · 214 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked No | 2c | 1,197$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 192 | 18.8%36 W · 156 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 47c | 1,194$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.72 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 8c | 1,190$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.81 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 24c | 1,175$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.56 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 40c | 1,171$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.74 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 43c | 1,170$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.56 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 73c | 1,162$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.82 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 79c | 1,102$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.54 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…9b21backed No | 1c | 1,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…d8f0backed No | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 141 | 31.2%44 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 4c | 994.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Yes | 8c | 978.31$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.33 | 150 | 52%78 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa5…e160backed Yes | 9c | 974.67$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4da4backed No | 4c | 916.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b9…c40bbacked Yes | 11c | 907.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.96 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed No | 40c | 905.16$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.91 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 47c | 886.06$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.17 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0840…f4d9backed Yes | 9c | 876.1$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.1 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed No | 37c | 863$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.64 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 50c | 817.63$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.49 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 52c | 782.26$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.19 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Yes | 58c | 726$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.92 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…cd3ebacked Yes | 60c | 703.33$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.33 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7098…1d97backed Yes | 69c | 698.55$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.55 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…a075backed Yes | 9c | 696.28$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.92 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked No | 3c | 666.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 29%36 W · 88 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 45c | 642.23$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.43 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…68b5backed Yes | 59c | 630.17$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.37 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Yes | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 73c | 620.04$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.76 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 52c | 619$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.72 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Yes | 79c | 600$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7a…2703backed Yes | 60c | 579.38$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.96 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b1…8962backed Yes | 54c | 578.84$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.15 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 71c | 559.68$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.88 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ae…33b8backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.56 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 16c | 534.95$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.65 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 75c | 525$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.31 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ca…582bbacked Yes | 73c | 506$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 46c | 503.54$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.96 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…c482backed No | 51c | 502.03$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.23 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x056e…14afbacked Yes | 9c | 501.48$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.35 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…a97bbacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x888c…19f9backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 4c | 470$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.44 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked No | 6c | 443.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 389 | 48.8%190 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 11c | 441$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…a1e1backed Yes | 9c | 430$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.3 | 137 | 21.9%30 W · 107 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 62c | 422.75$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.64 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Egypt leading at halftime?this page
- Argentina leading at halftime?No won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.