Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47de811c2765bcadb16b37bb7dbeac5824906109500b281f89ff8e6168ec4b50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,067,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,120,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,067,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 492 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes | 54c | 175,000$94,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,499.84 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 46c | 101,364$46,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,158.67 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 99,776$61,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,532.84 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 47c | 94,915$44,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,475.48 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd987…963dbacked Yes | 0c | 93,120$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 39c | 80,619$31,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,220.57 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed No | 46c | 57,269$26,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,925.19 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed No | 47c | 36,100$16,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,107.01 | 89 | 31.5%28 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 46c | 35,357$16,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,131.32 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed No | 46c | 26,911$12,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,531.94 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 41c | 21,836$9,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,014.97 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed No | 46c | 21,760$10,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,750.4 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 46c | 18,874$8,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,176.83 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 53c | 17,643$9,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,281.37 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 53c | 17,603$9,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,386.97 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…8b0bbacked Yes | 3c | 17,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 46c | 16,051$7,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,690.85 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…8626backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…2c61backed Yes | 14c | 13,449$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 45c | 13,000$5,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,109.93 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked No | 46c | 12,000$5,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,519.96 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…ab37backed Yes | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 55c | 9,143$5,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,027.14 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 55c | 9,091$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…e87cbacked Yes | 55c | 8,800$4,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,839.99 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 46c | 8,572$3,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,661.36 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 46c | 7,853$3,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,240.62 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 76c | 7,810$5,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.13 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…467abacked Yes | 13c | 7,807$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 46c | 7,315$3,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,950.36 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 54c | 5,699$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050.33 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Yes | 55c | 5,672$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.75 | 389 | 48.8%190 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked No | 46c | 5,651$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.3 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7673…fa40backed No | 46c | 5,522$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,981.89 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e7a2backed Yes | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked No | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 46c | 4,707$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563.94 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 46c | 4,339$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.76 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked No | 46c | 4,000$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Yes | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 214 | 42.5%91 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 55c | 3,100$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Yes | 15c | 3,031$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.31 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c6…4366backed Yes | 26c | 3,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.99 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 52c | 3,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.98 | 245 | 39.6%97 W · 148 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 23c | 2,999$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.83 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…6049backed Yes | 53c | 2,792$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.85 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x527d…d8f4backed Yes | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf191…2938backed Yes | 28c | 2,600$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 65c | 2,523$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.56 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 13c | 2,500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked No | 47c | 2,341$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.56 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 46c | 2,267$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.17 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 19c | 2,251$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.05 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 30c | 2,214$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.28 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 46c | 2,188$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.68 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 45c | 2,100$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.42 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…0d85backed No | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.98 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.97 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed No | 45c | 1,998$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.91 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 76c | 1,937$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.84 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 54c | 1,898$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d74…cfb2backed Yes | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…ecc6backed Yes | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 55c | 1,686$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.3 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.99 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 45c | 1,536$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.68 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…9b21backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…f06cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,494$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 46c | 1,493$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.98 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 47c | 1,436$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.7 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 54c | 1,432$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.35 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,418$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.11 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 45c | 1,294$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.39 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…c545backed Yes | 55c | 1,280$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7540backed Yes | 16c | 1,247$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 33c | 1,200$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 50c | 1,097$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.89 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 46c | 1,090$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.99 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 46c | 1,061$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.87 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cb…e963backed Yes | 4c | 1,020$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 94 | 14.9%14 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…af1bbacked No | 56c | 1,014$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.87 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Yes | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef7a…1c34backed No | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39bc…2739backed Yes | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Yes | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…273ebacked Yes | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 16c | 967.11$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.64 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4709…da4dbacked Yes | 13c | 961.54$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 10cpaid | +225.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Yes | 54c | 930.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 379 | 55.7%211 W · 168 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa053…130fbacked Yes | 55c | 927.27$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 311 | 29.6%92 W · 219 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…f4c3backed Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Yes | 52c | 922.13$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.51 | 224 | 36.6%82 W · 142 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed No | 54c | 913.28$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.08 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7d…d997backed Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a8…3592backed Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina leading at halftime?this page
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?No won
- Egypt leading at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.