TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Hamarkameratene: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,489
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,757

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,489 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c1,896$979 inWon+$916.957,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0478…37c3backed Over46c1,500$690 inLost-$689.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over47c463.52$219 inLost-$219.461741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid-17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over7c189$13 inLost-$13.2310827.8%30 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over61c181.91$112 inLost-$111.79341.9%39 W · 54 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Under79c174.19$138 inWon+$36.586142.6%26 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+37.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over58c171.51$100 inLost-$10022062.3%137 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35b1…8962backed Under54c100$54 inWon+$46850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under40c97.48$39 inWon+$58.845,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under43c80$34 inWon+$45.627360.8%166 W · 107 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under37c75.31$28 inWon+$47.22,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over61c60.99$37 inLost-$37.214847.9%23 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under41c59.79$25 inWon+$35.2828049.6%139 W · 141 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over58c51.86$30 inLost-$301546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over38c50$19 inLost-$1912750.4%64 W · 63 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under54c46.23$25 inWon+$21.2755954.9%307 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x474a…a275backed Over48c41.67$20 inLost-$201030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-48%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over64c22.75$14 inLost-$14.522054.1%119 W · 101 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.