MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05b6f21d8c744f5b1131f3b544b9d1ab63cd046e0467906c16d658c944e0c226
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof New York Mets, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $271,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $265,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Mets | 45c | 88,888$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,888.35 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 73,798$40,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,588.67 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked New York Mets | 55c | 11,580$6,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,260.07 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 10,478$5,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,762.81 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 10,279$5,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,756.24 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets | 44c | 7,514$3,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,207.64 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Milwaukee Brewers | 20c | 7,149$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.71 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 8c | 6,758$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.74 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked New York Mets | 45c | 6,667$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,666.85 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed New York Mets | 71c | 6,142$4,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.05 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed New York Mets | 45c | 6,029$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,326.45 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed New York Mets | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked New York Mets | 41c | 4,700$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…4ba0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 4,654$2,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745.84 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Milwaukee Brewers | 21c | 4,058$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.83 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets | 44c | 3,996$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.51 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 3,826$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.86 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 30c | 3,797$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.02 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 45c | 3,642$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.05 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 1c | 2,771$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 369 | 32.8%121 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 2,418$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.59 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…c709backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 2,200$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc96a…396abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 2,200$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +354.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 2,119$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.65 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets | 66c | 1,946$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.87 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Milwaukee Brewers | 7c | 1,943$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Milwaukee Brewers | 14c | 1,789$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.47 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9340…e829backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 1,712$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.08 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 1,674$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.58 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 1,574$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.93 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…91e3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 1,505$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Milwaukee Brewers | 4c | 1,500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Milwaukee Brewers | 32c | 1,446$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.66 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Milwaukee Brewers | 28c | 1,402$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.34 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked New York Mets | 69c | 1,273$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.82 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets | 59c | 1,249$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.31 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Milwaukee Brewers | 2c | 1,233$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…6382backed New York Mets | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 1,132$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.91 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed New York Mets | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b1…8962backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 941.13$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.02 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 935.43$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.26 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 922.47$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.58 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 909.04$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.06 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed New York Mets | 44c | 881.83$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.82 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x322b…2718backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 866.59$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 866.17$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked New York Mets | 79c | 866.11$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.03 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x860c…418dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 12c | 799.46$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 765.23$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.07 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Milwaukee Brewers | 9c | 750$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 704$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.2 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Mets | 44c | 696.02$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.77 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Milwaukee Brewers | 27c | 694.86$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.31 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 644.89$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.99 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed New York Mets | 70c | 637.01$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.14 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed New York Mets | 45c | 555.54$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.55 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed New York Mets | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Mets | 52c | 499.94$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.97 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…3214backed Milwaukee Brewers | 12c | 493.39$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 488$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.4 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 483.78$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.32 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 468$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.16 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed New York Mets | 44c | 462.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.27 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…861abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 462.5$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed New York Mets | 44c | 454.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.77 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed New York Mets | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 453.58$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.47 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Milwaukee Brewers | 37c | 444.52$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.73 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed New York Mets | 44c | 428.4$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.14 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f14…a4ebbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 418.18$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 418$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.9 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked New York Mets | 58c | 410$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.2 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Milwaukee Brewers | 25c | 403.44$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.81 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked New York Mets | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 375.75$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.42 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Milwaukee Brewers | 26c | 348.5$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked New York Mets | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed New York Mets | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed New York Mets | 73c | 308.34$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.12 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d8…9fdabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 305.88$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.45 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…efddbacked New York Mets | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed New York Mets | 78c | 299.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a34…6c6cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 26c | 299.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 290$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.41 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 263.42$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 26c | 257.56$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed New York Mets | 44c | 251.45$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.81 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked New York Mets | 46c | 242.12$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.74 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed New York Mets | 44c | 233$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.48 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewersthis page
- New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-4.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.