Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will St Mirren FC win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bd0c835f4989b72024f077fc53a85878b7044542db700a126c6a2e0953c94e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 63c | 9,660$6,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,120.93 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 37c | 5,692$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,612.44 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 47c | 3,592$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.63 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 55c | 3,057$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.77 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 74c | 2,103$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.93 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 21c | 1,465$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.86 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 52c | 1,306$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.63 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 40c | 1,245$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.55 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 1,142$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.44 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 36c | 1,002$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.28 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4705…a7dbbacked Yes | 32c | 937.66$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 68c | 932.66$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.21 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Yes | 51c | 901.71$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.4 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…9fc9backed Yes | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 49c | 550$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 52c | 464$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.94 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28c5…5ad1backed Yes | 29c | 331.83$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 17cpaid | +174.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Yes | 78c | 314.76$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 52c | 300$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.14 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b1…8962backed Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 60c | 263$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.8 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Yes | 70c | 202.97$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.46 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 48c | 185$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 77c | 174.51$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 75c | 165.49$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Yes | 37c | 165.38$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.13 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a74…9a36backed Yes | 36c | 143$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Yes | 40c | 133.35$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.01 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed No | 43c | 126.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed Yes | 47c | 116.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.89 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 54c | 113.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed No | 64c | 98.09$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 41c | 88.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked No | 64c | 86.86$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed Yes | 40c | 82.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +215.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 17c | 79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 53c | 78.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked No | 64c | 77.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed No | 17c | 76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 52c | 75.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 56c | 71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Yes | 75c | 68.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 63c | 64.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b4…a549backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 52c | 62.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 52c | 61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked No | 66c | 60.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 36c | 47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed No | 65c | 46.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 25c | 42.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 60c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 40c | 37.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 51c | 37.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 36c | 37.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 69c | 33.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 62c | 26.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c22…7b22backed Yes | 78c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 47c | 23.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yes | 78c | 22.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 78c | 21.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 78c | 21.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3a5abacked No | 64c | 20.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed Yes | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes | 60c | 17.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 62c | 16.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will St Mirren FC win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will St Johnstone FC win on 2026-08-08?No won
- Will St Mirren FC vs. St Johnstone FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.