Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will St Mirren FC vs. St Johnstone FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00014c88adad03449094137dd5256f4e6e791f40866099375f931bad6010b1dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 41c | 2,369$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.34 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 61c | 1,718$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.34 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 46c | 1,306$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.41 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 54c | 810$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.1 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 49c | 730.15$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.54 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 45c | 550$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 34c | 402.2$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.08 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 12c | 332.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes | 31c | 322.35$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.34 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 45c | 300$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.76 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b1…8962backed Yes | 35c | 272.75$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 54c | 200.19$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 36c | 141.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed No | 54c | 127$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 28c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4a…ad4cbacked Yes | 56c | 107.93$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 56c | 98.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 72c | 83.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Yes | 58c | 82.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 55c | 71.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 64.38$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 42c | 51.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 45.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 54c | 43.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 60c | 42.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed Yes | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 63c | 37.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 55c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 60c | 31.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 60c | 28.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will St Mirren FC vs. St Johnstone FC end in a draw?this page
- Will St Johnstone FC win on 2026-08-08?No won
- Will St Mirren FC win on 2026-08-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.