TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Suns (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Suns, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,191
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,484

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,191 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf11…8399backed Suns45c12,603$5,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,931.9137539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Suns46c6,222$2,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,357.214,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Kings55c5,580$3,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,067.452,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Kings54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.9869149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Kings52c4,527$2,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,354.061,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Suns46c4,502$2,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,424.4451354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Suns46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Kings54c3,020$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.831,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Kings53c3,000$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.2915849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Kings53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5901,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4270…e461backed Kings51c2,760$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.514742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Kings55c2,655$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.432150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Suns46c2,503$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.939,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Suns47c2,167$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.613,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suns48c2,071$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.074,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35b1…8962backed Kings50c2,004$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.981127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Suns46c1,827$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.951,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3280…ea74backed Kings56c1,795$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009531.6%30 W · 65 L-11.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Kings55c1,638$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.92,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Kings53c1,515$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.042,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Suns46c1,136$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.048,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Kings28c999.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28014448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Kings55c948.94$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.9251146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Kings55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50090957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Suns65c882.47$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.751,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Suns47c858$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.7440146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Suns55c791.6$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.272,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Suns45c777$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.356,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Suns46c775.8$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.9317144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Suns46c675.71$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.041,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e80…787bbacked Kings73c666$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.121136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf3b…0230backed Suns76c657.85$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.854067.5%27 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Suns47c640$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.220846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Suns48c618.59$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.62,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Suns46c615.09$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.151,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Suns48c611.54$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3182,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Suns77c606.35$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.246245.2%28 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Suns44c600$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33649345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Suns46c567.54$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.642,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Suns43c546.06$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.561,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Kings55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns45c500.01$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.923,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Kings53c409.99$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.284150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Kings55c401.08$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.632,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Suns49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20461747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Suns57c399.99$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Kings24c382.59$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6940243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Suns48c373.42$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.423,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7d5…d4d3backed Kings56c353.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.75750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kings52c332.46$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.244,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings51c326.12$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.32,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Suns46c326.09$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.0952146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Kings49c320$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0513154.2%71 W · 60 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Suns45c312.35$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.435,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Suns46c308$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.3245646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Kings51c301.01$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.093,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Suns51c290.68$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.081,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Suns45c231$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.0587453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Kings18c228.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2126336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Kings54c224.01$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.173,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Kings54c219.6$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2592058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Suns46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3943447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Kings53c210.09$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7545452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Kings55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Kings45c199.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9026339.5%104 W · 159 L-13.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Suns46c184$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.361,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ac8…9e67backed Kings42c180$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.618543.2%80 W · 105 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Suns46c177.3$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7476552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Suns47c176.24$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.321,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Kings24c174.54$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8910637.7%40 W · 66 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+47.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Kings29c174.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020237.1%75 W · 127 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Suns46c173.5$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.033,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Kings43c162$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6652230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Suns46c158.81$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7655846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Suns36c154.97$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8374547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Suns46c154$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1656547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Suns48c146$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.922,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Kings8c145.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9430224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Suns47c138$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1411433.3%38 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Suns46c131.86$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.22,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Suns47c121.26$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9611850%59 W · 59 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Suns72c117.36$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.881,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Suns43c116.54$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.135,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6450…9547backed Kings61c113.03$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.958439.3%33 W · 51 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bca…05d8backed Kings35c110.72$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.723622.2%8 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Suns76c110$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.427357.1%156 W · 117 L+0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Suns46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.793036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Suns46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.712152.1%63 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Suns47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3825753.7%138 W · 119 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Suns47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3838152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Suns47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3821948.9%107 W · 112 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Kings37c101.47$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3831151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e0e…8763backed Kings55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Kings50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5055316.5%91 W · 462 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Suns46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Kings55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5591148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Suns48c91.49$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5841050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Kings55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5046346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Suns59c88.75$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5388057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Suns48c85.02$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.461,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.