NBA · resolved market

Spread: Suns (-9.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7909d71884ecd7d0388675193a97b8d9e284d2cb4bd4420995752851801c3256

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Sunsof Suns, Kings
Resolved: Mar 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $703,594
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $764,390

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $703,594 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Kings	52c	415,199$214,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214,005.11	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Suns	50c	162,000$80,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81,519.98	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Suns	48c	141,596$67,966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73,629.96	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suns	48c	65,974$31,893 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,080.91	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Kings	49c	50,000$24,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,499.96	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Suns	51c	49,020$25,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,019.61	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Suns	49c	45,896$22,348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,547.46	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d10…e270backed Suns	51c	30,336$15,471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,865.48	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Kings	50c	21,034$10,517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,516.89	403	50.1%202 W · 201 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Suns	48c	18,900$9,072 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,828	240	45.4%109 W · 131 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Kings	50c	17,274$8,637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,637	334	47.9%160 W · 174 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c21…9b8abacked Kings	50c	15,768$7,884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,884	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Suns	49c	13,674$6,674 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,000.39	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Kings	50c	9,355$4,678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,677.59	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Kings	50c	8,488$4,286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,286	99	52.5%52 W · 47 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Kings	51c	6,878$3,508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,508	60	45%27 W · 33 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-13%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Kings	50c	5,710$2,855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,855.03	389	46%179 W · 210 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4270…e461backed Kings	50c	4,355$2,178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,177.5	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-3.5wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Suns	48c	4,221$2,026 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,194.92	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,960	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings	49c	3,961$1,941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,940.95	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Suns	49c	3,378$1,670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,708.29	348	52.3%182 W · 166 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Suns	48c	3,333$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,733.16	147	53.1%78 W · 69 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Kings	50c	3,254$1,627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,627.08	86	48.8%42 W · 44 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Suns	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,530	339	45.1%153 W · 186 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Suns	50c	2,627$1,313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,313.33	591	40.8%241 W · 350 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kings	44c	2,445$1,076 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,076.01	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Kings	50c	2,113$1,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,056.39	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Suns	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	722	41.4%299 W · 423 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Suns	49c	1,910$945 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$965.3	357	44.3%158 W · 199 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns	49c	1,899$933 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$965.81	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Suns	52c	1,400$734 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$665.99	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Suns	49c	1,224$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$624.49	315	51.7%163 W · 152 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Suns	48c	1,167$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$606.84	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Kings	50c	1,131$566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565.5	259	51.4%133 W · 126 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Suns	48c	1,050$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$546	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Suns	51c	892$455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$437.08	544	43%234 W · 310 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Kings	21c	827.77$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Kings	50c	800$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	119	43.7%52 W · 67 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Suns	51c	784.31$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.31	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Suns	49c	767$376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$391.17	201	47.8%96 W · 105 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Kings	51c	722$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.22	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Suns	49c	650$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.5	98	42.9%42 W · 56 L	-5.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Suns	51c	600$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Kings	51c	553.87$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282	106	51.9%55 W · 51 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Suns	51c	500$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+2.5wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0395…c9edbacked Suns	51c	500$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked Kings	51c	496.54$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.03	184	46.2%85 W · 99 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings	50c	431.69$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.08	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Kings	50c	426.16$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.08	227	46.3%105 W · 122 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Suns	48c	408.25$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.49	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Suns	49c	408.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.16	129	51.9%67 W · 62 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Suns	49c	406.7$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.4	263	36.5%96 W · 167 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Suns	51c	400$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196	666	45.9%306 W · 360 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Suns	51c	400$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196	522	40%209 W · 313 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43f9…2c69backed Kings	51c	392.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Suns	50c	369.14$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.57	126	45.2%57 W · 69 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Suns	55c	300$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135	232	51.7%120 W · 112 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Suns	50c	300$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	561	54.5%306 W · 255 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Kings	50c	299.94$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.97	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6450…9547backed Kings	56c	299.77$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167	84	39.3%33 W · 51 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-12%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c67…a0e0backed Suns	53c	262.86$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.09	296	46.6%138 W · 158 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Kings	51c	249.99$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.39	435	44.6%194 W · 241 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Suns	49c	238.93$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.85	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Suns	49c	227.09$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.55	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Kings	57c	213.35$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.4	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8bae…f1a0backed Suns	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f2e…5b64backed Kings	51c	200.65$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.13	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Suns	51c	200.47$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.66	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Suns	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	184	48.9%90 W · 94 L	-13.3wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Suns	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	165	52.7%87 W · 78 L	+8.8wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Suns	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Suns	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	-6.9wins	-0.15per pick	58cpaid	-26%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3f12…0d85backed Suns	51c	194.12$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.12	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72d3…cbf2backed Suns	50c	180$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Kings	57c	171.28$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.92	454	52%236 W · 218 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Suns	51c	160.78$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.88	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Suns	51c	156.86$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.86	722	50.6%365 W · 357 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Kings	53c	150.72$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.81	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked Suns	50c	150$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	151	54.3%82 W · 69 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Kings	55c	147.64$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.82	628	44.9%282 W · 346 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Suns	50c	147.06$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.62	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0339…1394backed Suns	50c	144$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	130	45.4%59 W · 71 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Suns	43c	140$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.58	624	50%312 W · 312 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Kings	51c	136.99$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.19	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ea…c2efbacked Kings	52c	134.62$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	89	42.7%38 W · 51 L	-8.3wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Suns	50c	118.81$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.41	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Suns	51c	117.65$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.65	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Suns	46c	108.7$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.7	138	43.5%60 W · 78 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc8c…d58cbacked Kings	51c	107.84$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	80	43.8%35 W · 45 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Suns	54c	106.92$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.2	880	57.5%506 W · 374 L	+34.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b15…f827backed Suns	51c	102.94$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.44	69	44.9%31 W · 38 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Suns	49c	102.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.76	95	52.6%50 W · 45 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7bfabacked Suns	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Suns	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	278	47.1%131 W · 147 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Kings	51c	100.08$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.04	221	48%106 W · 115 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Kings	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	786	52.4%412 W · 374 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3735…3d9dbacked Kings	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	107	37.4%40 W · 67 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Suns	38c	100$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62	228	50.9%116 W · 112 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed Suns	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	121	51.2%62 W · 59 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Suns (-9.5)this page
1H Spread: Suns (-5.5)Kings won
1H Spread: Suns (-6.5)Kings won
Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 3.5No won
DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Devin Booker: Points O/U 23.5No won
Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Spread: Suns (-10.5)Suns won
Suns vs. KingsSuns won
Suns vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineSuns won
Suns vs. Kings: O/U 222.5Under won
Suns vs. Kings: O/U 223.5Under won
Suns vs. Kings: O/U 224.5Under won
Suns vs. Kings: O/U 225.5Under won
Suns vs. Kings: O/U 226.5Under won
Suns vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Suns (-9.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event