TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Kings: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,140
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,375

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,140 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over50c25,092$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,50036549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0e6b…d96dbacked Under52c19,197$9,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,214.61346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Under53c15,112$8,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,111.395945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c13,542$6,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,378.349,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Under53c9,335$4,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,387.268153.1%43 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Under55c8,500$4,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8254654.3%25 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked Under52c7,482$3,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,591.228148.1%39 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over48c5,993$2,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,876.5451354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3290…1135backed Over47c4,783$2,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,247.941861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over47c4,396$2,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0662,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dc8…da92backed Over45c4,039$1,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,825.522646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over49c3,491$1,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,710.5922648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over47c2,528$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.386,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under53c2,500$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.9980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6094…e860backed Over48c2,292$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under54c2,135$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.4840243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00034854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9601,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7838946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Under52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0822035.5%78 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under73c1,749$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.491,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under51c1,600$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7841,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under62c1,248$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.312,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over47c1,191$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.772,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c1,190$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.634,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Under53c1,064$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5006055%33 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c1,026$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.465,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c929.84$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.228,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c881.59$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.093,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over47c849.81$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe787…c4c7backed Over50c575$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x231f…4681backed Under50c555$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a34…df7cbacked Under50c548$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdda7…2a4abacked Over50c537$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over34c532.89$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.011,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7efa…1be0backed Over50c529$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a8…28abbacked Under50c518$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9c7…da92backed Over50c513$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under52c466.74$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.714,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under51c466.14$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.2426336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over45c463.21$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.450241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46cf…aae1backed Under50c462$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over32c461.47$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.661,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45ed…8af4backed Under50c453$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b49…9787backed Under50c451$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over30c446.25$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1337334.2%25 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d1…3af1backed Over50c438$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over47c426$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.221,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a31…9165backed Over50c395$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over37c375.34$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3991846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over47c347.11$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.472,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Under69c321$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6147359.2%280 W · 193 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over31c281.2$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.072,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Over51c271.43$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.061338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under51c260.51$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.6569149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under54c252$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.922,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Over29c251.25$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0411128.8%32 W · 79 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over46c243$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7840146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under56c239.02$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.193,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over47c232.8$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5862541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over48c228.93$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5926048.1%125 W · 135 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Over38c221.18$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.056963.8%44 W · 25 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Under58c219.24$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0849938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over23c213.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeba1…44dfbacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004641.3%19 W · 27 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over50c208.3$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.663,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f6e…16bfbacked Over51c206.66$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x254e…9721backed Under50c206.66$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over50c203$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.524151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c201.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.054,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over48c198$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.051,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Under55c194.55$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.553259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over48c188.83$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4918150.3%91 W · 90 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over49c171.16$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.981,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Under74c167$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4235650%178 W · 178 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over45c154.61$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5784150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6d…a962backed Over47c148.34$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.721650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under49c142$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4238242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over45c140.12$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.375,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over49c123.58$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.552,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06f3…e57dbacked Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-76.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e7…a322backed Under68c117.92$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.926157.4%35 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under52c114.28$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.852,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c110.88$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.742,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over30c108.01$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.665542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over42c105.85$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3245452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under52c103$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.441,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over48c102$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.451,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Under52c99.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4839435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over47c98.31$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.063,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba27…c6fbbacked Under60c94.22$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.473100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c4d…884bbacked Under73c90.41$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.412669.2%18 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over28c89.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.461,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Over47c87.23$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6821637.5%81 W · 135 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over47c86.93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8664844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over36c86.4$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.672,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over41c75.59$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.193,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Under73c75.44$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2345653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6de…6f5ebacked Under67c74.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.792119%4 W · 17 L-5.1wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-72.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.