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NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Kings: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,237
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,370

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,237 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over50c47,303$23,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,671.4887451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c27,823$13,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,145.059,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over53c23,664$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,50036549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c11,471$5,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,878.774,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.881,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under49c4,811$2,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,453.811,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under49c3,491$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,780.4122648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under47c3,428$1,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,816.652,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under51c3,250$1,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,58069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over43c3,181$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.062,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50033945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under52c2,761$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.1622752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c2,649$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.393,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1dc8…da92backed Over49c2,032$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c1,986$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.548,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under51c1,983$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.644,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.9980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under47c1,191$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.232,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under52c1,070$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.013,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c932.06$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.233,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Under50c802$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40142348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under68c735.98$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.981,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Under51c732.56$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.7320147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c660$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.086,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under49c624.99$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.7554443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under49c578.14$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.526336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c529.36$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.932,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24080653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.252951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over51c428$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.2824151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under49c428$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.2829650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c364.04$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.362,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7715…ada4backed Over51c349.99$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.56344.4%28 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over40c344.7$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.5891846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under48c336.36$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.051,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under49c246.31$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.0822746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under49c217.1$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8991148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c215.89$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.094,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under49c205.88$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under55c204.56$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.393,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under50c203.05$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8464844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10078652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c16…0272backed Under49c199.96$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9818233%60 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x451f…7301backed Over50c199.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007853.8%42 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0865649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9325…adafbacked Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0811754.7%64 W · 53 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013346.6%62 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over48c182$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3615543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccef…8effbacked Over48c149.73$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under58c131.63$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3345452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c121.21$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.612,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75ea…1616backed Under72c110.58$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.961428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-52.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030055.7%167 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over51c102$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.511,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over50c100.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4884150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012151.2%62 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d5…dd7bbacked Under51c96.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.951770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+46%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Over51c86.65$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1921854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c04…ba84backed Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb67d…b482backed Over49c73.47$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Under51c68.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6337755.7%210 W · 167 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over35c65.26$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0114860.1%89 W · 59 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc307…bf36backed Under52c63.87$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.666746.3%31 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4bf…c71ebacked Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over52c57.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9912542.4%53 W · 72 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92aa…0341backed Under50c54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2715949.7%79 W · 80 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93e3…e590backed Under51c52.18$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.576437.5%24 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Under49c51.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1816369.9%114 W · 49 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over48c50.35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9510637.7%40 W · 66 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+47.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2595260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over50c49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.546447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c48.96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.52,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ddd…3fe6backed Over52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d69…01aebacked Over49c45.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.583354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Under48c42.94$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2812227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x197a…d3d1backed Over49c41.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208257.3%47 W · 35 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a1f…0568backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf375…a60cbacked Over49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.762045%9 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over51c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3667248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under50c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1862546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Under48c33.2$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2623950.6%121 W · 118 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Under49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.615343.4%23 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc08e…45e7backed Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1ac1…0c17backed Under76c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.21656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6436…aa37backed Under51c25.58$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.536841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Over54c22.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0145653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under49c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3323350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under52c21.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3588057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x784f…7593backed Under51c20.44$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.021650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022044.5%98 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc29b…6012backed Over67c17.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.972744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under70c17.86$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3665872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.