TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c04…ba84

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Asian League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.93
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$44.52
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$287.65
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.96
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$44.96
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Germany (-3.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.53
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$174.58
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.57
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.33
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$105.33
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$60
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+74.1%+$119.15
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.91
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+40.8%+$35.91
Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$42.25
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+145.3%+$596.89
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$400
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+222.6%+$229.37
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+88.5%+$106.78
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$140.22
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$58.93
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+150%+$487.59
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$107.78
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$10.38
Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.04
Suns vs. Kings: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$42.47
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$30.96
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$30.18
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$31.43
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$29.88
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Timberwolves vs. Knicksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Nets vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+90.4%+$109.56
All 13 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16.94
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.3
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.12
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$332.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.