Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3c25700f9874ac25363d7cdd065331f3bb6225dd3ee0f8a3a22af7ba20d18f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Weibo Gamingof Weibo Gaming, Invictus Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Invictus Gaming | 48c | 6,628$3,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,155.14 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Weibo Gaming | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 518 | 52.7%273 W · 245 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Weibo Gaming | 53c | 2,140$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.08 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Invictus Gaming | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.98 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Weibo Gaming | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Invictus Gaming | 50c | 370.76$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.27 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | -12.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Weibo Gaming | 53c | 288.6$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.72 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed Weibo Gaming | 53c | 215.09$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.09 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed Weibo Gaming | 53c | 193.24$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.69 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Invictus Gaming | 49c | 122.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…f0cfbacked Weibo Gaming | 51c | 117$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Weibo Gaming | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 293 | 35.2%103 W · 190 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Weibo Gaming | 50c | 111.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Weibo Gaming | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Weibo Gaming | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 324 | 57.7%187 W · 137 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed Weibo Gaming | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…c8ebbacked Weibo Gaming | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Weibo Gaming | 52c | 95.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Invictus Gaming | 48c | 88.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…ba84backed Weibo Gaming | 52c | 88.02$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Weibo Gaming | 52c | 82.37$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Weibo Gaming | 49c | 73.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97e…ea6fbacked Invictus Gaming | 48c | 73.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Weibo Gaming | 52c | 57.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Weibo Gaming | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Weibo Gaming | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefd…afbcbacked Weibo Gaming | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Invictus Gaming | 51c | 49.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x713f…22ccbacked Weibo Gaming | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…669ebacked Weibo Gaming | 49c | 47.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Invictus Gaming | 49c | 46.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: WB (-2.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+2.5)Weibo Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsWeibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.