Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96f91e2907d560217e0d47c55a64a15a06a1e4d8c167d43a0ae75a62c90de81a

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 25, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $18,834
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $23,237

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,834 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc144…abc7backed Over	2c	5,608$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.18	35	14.3%5 W · 30 L	-5.3wins	-0.15per pick	30cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under	30c	1,359$406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$952.84	443	35.4%157 W · 286 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Under	27c	1,262$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$915.46	1,035	47.2%489 W · 546 L	+26.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Over	70c	1,000$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	190	42.1%80 W · 110 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50b5…3a14backed Over	72c	791.32$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.75	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.13per pick	62cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under	25c	753.81$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$565.33	261	44.1%115 W · 146 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under	27c	719.91$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$521.96	1,368	37.7%516 W · 852 L	-6.8wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over	76c	517.03$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.94	302	55.6%168 W · 134 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb66…5e13backed Over	66c	450$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.42	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	-3.6wins	-0.10per pick	65cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x534b…983fbacked Over	73c	400$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292	428	35%150 W · 278 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under	29c	307.1$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.42	1,730	29.5%510 W · 1,220 L	-123.2wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe81c…a724backed Over	73c	272.72$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	72cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b56…b99abacked Over	77c	267.37$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.04	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-2.3wins	-0.78per pick	78cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under	30c	255.3$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.71	1,599	46.8%748 W · 851 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed Under	33c	237.5$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.56	255	47.8%122 W · 133 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Under	27c	206.16$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.13	69	40.6%28 W · 41 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Over	63c	189.7$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.96	148	52%77 W · 71 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	29c	181.06$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.02	1,224	48.3%591 W · 633 L	+26.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcefa…40bbbacked Over	69c	177.46$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.02	64	62.5%40 W · 24 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Over	66c	173$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.18	447	38%170 W · 277 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Over	74c	151.3$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.17	88	47.7%42 W · 46 L	-9.8wins	-0.11per pick	59cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x640b…ec00backed Under	50c	144.82$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.41	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+2.5wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over	70c	142.94$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	493	46.5%229 W · 264 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fa6…dbd6backed Over	73c	136.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	560	60.4%338 W · 222 L	-20.9wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a0d…e5b9backed Over	74c	135.96$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	31	64.5%20 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	70cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38a4…d83bbacked Over	74c	135.89$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	72.4%21 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	65cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7ff…5c2abacked Over	74c	135.68$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.54	89	48.3%43 W · 46 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked Under	57c	122.63$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.63	593	41.8%248 W · 345 L	-16.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe02f…3d4cbacked Over	72c	100$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	106	52.8%56 W · 50 L	-7.2wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0947…f948backed Over	70c	100$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.5	59	61%36 W · 23 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ba7…6c85backed Over	61c	92.55$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	25	60%15 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8471…e4f0backed Over	72c	83.33$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	71cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Over	72c	83$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.76	397	49.1%195 W · 202 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b09…0501backed Over	73c	74.47$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.3	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.11per pick	66cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb702…6bcfbacked Over	71c	74.37$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.8	83	55.4%46 W · 37 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a93…36babacked Over	73c	74.06$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	82	56.1%46 W · 36 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19f1…f301backed Over	70c	71.43$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	162	64.2%104 W · 58 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1016…c866backed Over	65c	66.1$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.03	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…53c8backed Over	45c	60$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.7	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x287e…c0acbacked Over	72c	59.82$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.07	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	73cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Over	40c	57.45$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.98	25	52%13 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over	55c	55$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.41	1,931	35.9%693 W · 1,238 L	-98.4wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Under	26c	54.47$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.19	70	28.6%20 W · 50 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6436…aa37backed Under	23c	51.21$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.43	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93e3…e590backed Under	23c	51.21$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.43	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed Over	53c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	576	55.9%322 W · 254 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd5…8f67backed Over	48c	41.49$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	192	51%98 W · 94 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Under	29c	38.44$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.34	1,372	48.6%667 W · 705 L	+57.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over	67c	34.79$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.21	219	53%116 W · 103 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69b7…ae1dbacked Under	67c	34$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.3	257	64.2%165 W · 92 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fcc…5b93backed Under	67c	34$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.22	99	66.7%66 W · 33 L	+8.0wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa08a…ad51backed Under	31c	32.75$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.75	69	59.4%41 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xded6…682abacked Over	72c	30$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.20per pick	48cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e0e…8763backed Over	71c	30$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.3	73	52.1%38 W · 35 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7994…c8c3backed Over	70c	28.57$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	39	66.7%26 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Over	70c	27.08$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x802e…adf4backed Over	76c	26.17$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	49	61.2%30 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf232…4fc6backed Over	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	64	54.7%35 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	62c	20.16$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.44	1,608	17.5%282 W · 1,326 L	-245.3wins	-0.15per pick	33cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x58e0…ebecbacked Over	68c	18.58$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.63	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)Weibo Gaming won
Game Handicap: WB (-2.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+2.5)Weibo Gaming won
Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsWeibo Gaming won
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 1?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 2?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 3?Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event