TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0bd5…8f67

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
249
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Champions League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 59 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT19251%98 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 192 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$837Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$836.6
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.95
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$183.08
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+46%+$154.48
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$157.91
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$139
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Game Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)backed SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$83.57
LoL: French Flair vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
LoL: French Flair vs Galions - Game 1 Winnerbacked French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Solary vs BIG - Game 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+182.8%+$54.85
LoL: Misa Esports vs French Flair (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$85
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$52.64
Showing 25 of 192 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
AS Roma vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.65
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.55
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$190.48
Will SS Lazio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$39.04
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$39.93
SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$70
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$146.9
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$14.78
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$19.38
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$183.92
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+112%+$41.44
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+82.1%+$24.64
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Genoa CFC vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+163.2%+$24.47
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+150%+$28.5
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+68.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+525%+$131.25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+271.7%+$108.7
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.61
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Will Juventus advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$187
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$35.94
All 14 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick40cpaid+65.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-73.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$835Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$835
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$538.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+52.7%+$18.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+26.6%+$15.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.