TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Solary vs BIG - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BIGof Solary, BIG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,009

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,009 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a35…9015backed BIG36c5,559$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,559.2436943.9%162 W · 207 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked Solary59c4,395$2,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,602.9311035.5%39 W · 71 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1bdd…23dcbacked BIG35c2,365$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53717163.2%108 W · 63 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Solary64c2,331$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.121,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Solary65c1,538$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009245.7%42 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c67…9896backed Solary41c1,406$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.5250646%233 W · 273 L+2.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed BIG33c1,396$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.031,79251.1%916 W · 876 L+50.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed BIG62c1,370$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.9924065%156 W · 84 L+24.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Solary57c1,295$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.192,90338.5%1,119 W · 1,784 L-117.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed BIG49c1,258$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.691,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fef…8c79backed Solary57c1,235$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70026246.9%123 W · 139 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed BIG60c1,200$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed BIG37c1,142$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.9919437.6%73 W · 121 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63ff…5f94backed BIG50c1,001$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.7716058.1%93 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed BIG40c999.99$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.3739447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Solary67c999.97$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.9879653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed BIG29c940.25$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.618042.5%34 W · 46 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Solary49c830.98$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.0539246.4%182 W · 210 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5198…7a53backed BIG31c798.61$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.782944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37a4…8260backed Solary67c768.15$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5182050%10 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bba…d34cbacked Solary65c767.22$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.69757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Solary65c743.08$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48359148.2%285 W · 306 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked BIG35c713.75$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.7566437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked BIG36c701.97$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.2649940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Solary50c671.79$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.891,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Solary49c660.97$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.3159952.8%316 W · 283 L-3.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked BIG33c609.99$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.692,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked Solary66c574.39$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.8495847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked Solary49c555.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27059241.9%248 W · 344 L-16.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa446…d9c6backed Solary64c533.22$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.261540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Solary44c531.45$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.841,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed BIG31c522$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.1816935.5%60 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Solary58c518.05$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked Solary42c503.2$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21399147.1%467 W · 524 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf61a…5943backed BIG33c479.38$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.3813418.7%25 W · 109 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed BIG31c476.35$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3543642.4%185 W · 251 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked Solary44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022545.8%103 W · 122 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked BIG32c443.63$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.672,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Solary46c440.74$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.442852.3%224 W · 204 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Solary59c440.19$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.7969756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Solary24c416.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10074344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Solary45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30af…20cfbacked Solary56c399.5$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.72633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Solary50c338$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1691,47648.3%713 W · 763 L+45.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…5cefbacked Solary69c324.63$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22517057.1%97 W · 73 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb616…b9a1backed BIG48c321.32$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.5427638.4%106 W · 170 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Solary54c311.11$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16894948.5%460 W · 489 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Solary32c307.9$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5318041.7%75 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x455b…ae12backed Solary66c301.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006761.2%41 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Solary44c300$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13114032.1%45 W · 95 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Solary32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9675342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed BIG55c299.98$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.991,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf592…b62dbacked Solary68c299.96$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.968557.5%394 W · 291 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0de1…916dbacked Solary68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010360.2%62 W · 41 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed Solary46c293.77$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.1386251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x36f2…4ca4backed Solary69c288.26$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015062%93 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d7…526dbacked Solary70c283.79$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013544.4%60 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked BIG39c282.05$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.0526448.5%128 W · 136 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7351…b857backed BIG57c278.38$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.634854.2%26 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+10.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed BIG37c272.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.63560%21 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2051…f9f1backed Solary48c249.34$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12049253.5%263 W · 229 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed BIG37c236.9$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.7266947.8%320 W · 349 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c4e…6c11backed Solary60c232.61$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5736749.9%183 W · 184 L+15.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed BIG46c230.29$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.4713239.4%52 W · 80 L-12.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked BIG55c230$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.556341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed Solary43c228.88$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7664451.2%330 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Solary69c220.36$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15216745.5%76 W · 91 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed BIG39c218.24$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.2244843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Solary44c213.31$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.491,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5ae…6bc4backed BIG33c200$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61aa…ff6fbacked Solary46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x917d…9429backed Solary49c200$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972931%9 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb3a…a2aabacked Solary64c197.35$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.224358.1%25 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+46.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Solary34c182.13$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.771,72629.4%507 W · 1,219 L-124.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Solary64c179.23$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.521943.8%96 W · 123 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked BIG35c174.29$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.291,44143.4%625 W · 816 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6fa…ac8fbacked Solary59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063248.3%305 W · 327 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Solary53c151.96$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5157947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c1…d9febacked Solary27c150.07$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5215952.2%83 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed Solary62c145$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.51,17547.4%557 W · 618 L+42.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a09…daf2backed Solary38c140$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-57.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked BIG51c129.41$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4140237.8%152 W · 250 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8c…81febacked BIG40c124.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.44728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed BIG17c119.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.5922617.7%40 W · 186 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked BIG36c111.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1129944.1%132 W · 167 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce2…4b11backed Solary48c110$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.13246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9945…57febacked Solary66c109.39$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-74.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Solary49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.543040.9%176 W · 254 L-1.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Solary49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5226859.7%160 W · 108 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc78a…ea34backed Solary67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6744062.7%276 W · 164 L-1.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked BIG27c92.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.89227.2%25 W · 67 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick16cpaid+36.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed BIG47c92.11$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.681,64344.4%730 W · 913 L-42.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9738…2bf8backed Solary52c90$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.231457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Solary28c89.18$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.111,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x174b…e030backed BIG49c85.53$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.62933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bd5…8f67backed BIG35c84.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8519251%98 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed BIG58c82.79$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6773851.5%380 W · 358 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed BIG40c82.54$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.22850%14 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1892…b299backed Solary67c77.13$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6817943.6%78 W · 101 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Solary48c73$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2318038.9%70 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.