Lol · resolved market
LoL: Solary vs BIG - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4d1e8e34ffa6ee94b4abd60f6fc92ff19105b83e39d9e6214e8209119224c5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Solaryof Solary, BIG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,860 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked BIG | 37c | 4,042$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.47 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Solary | 69c | 3,953$2,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.99 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Solary | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed BIG | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Solary | 63c | 2,627$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.6 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdd…23dcbacked BIG | 35c | 2,598$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.34 | 171 | 63.2%108 W · 63 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Solary | 70c | 2,476$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.94 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Solary | 68c | 2,271$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.96 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked BIG | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.98 | 499 | 40.7%203 W · 296 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed BIG | 37c | 1,615$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.04 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Solary | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…f133backed BIG | 1c | 1,025$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Solary | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed BIG | 16c | 900$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed BIG | 33c | 881.82$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 331 | 43.8%145 W · 186 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed BIG | 29c | 789.28$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.12 | 194 | 37.6%73 W · 121 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Solary | 65c | 740$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…2fb9backed Solary | 64c | 706.13$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30af…20cfbacked BIG | 17c | 584.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed BIG | 40c | 543.2$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.07 | 394 | 47.2%186 W · 208 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…8260backed Solary | 68c | 518.43$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.43 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed BIG | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BIG | 31c | 453.76$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.33 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked BIG | 23c | 426.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Solary | 65c | 339.13$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.98 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked BIG | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be4…1f20backed Solary | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 527 | 47.6%251 W · 276 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…272cbacked Solary | 66c | 276.53$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 592 | 41.9%248 W · 344 L | -16.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed BIG | 44c | 252.04$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.22 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Solary | 63c | 250.77$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 528 | 48.9%258 W · 270 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…b857backed BIG | 19c | 249.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked BIG | 38c | 242.05$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Solary | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 268 | 59.7%160 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Solary | 55c | 199.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked BIG | 38c | 197.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked Solary | 65c | 195.48$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.42 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed BIG | 20c | 185.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Solary | 64c | 179.23$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.73 | 219 | 43.8%96 W · 123 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed BIG | 7c | 175.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9945…57febacked BIG | 37c | 151.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…586cbacked BIG | 28c | 139.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 269 | 37.5%101 W · 168 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…9015backed BIG | 35c | 125$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 369 | 43.9%162 W · 207 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed BIG | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 226 | 17.7%40 W · 186 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Solary | 64c | 114.06$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed BIG | 31c | 99.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked BIG | 32c | 93.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…a2aabacked Solary | 64c | 90.81$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Solary | 41c | 90$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 572 | 22.7%130 W · 442 L | -48.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x455b…ae12backed BIG | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Solary | 65c | 87.59$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed BIG | 38c | 77.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed BIG | 43c | 77.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Solary | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed Solary | 72c | 73.61$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed BIG | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 738 | 51.5%380 W · 358 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Solary | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Solary | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed BIG | 37c | 69.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Solary | 63c | 66.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Solary | 65c | 58.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 135 | 41.5%56 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed BIG | 37c | 56.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…9a83backed BIG | 58c | 55.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…ffc6backed BIG | 37c | 54.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x174b…e030backed BIG | 37c | 51.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8c…81febacked BIG | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed BIG | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…d9febacked Solary | 64c | 40.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…651fbacked BIG | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Solary | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3264…693ebacked BIG | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…25b4backed Solary | 69c | 32.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b28…0390backed BIG | 43c | 31.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Solary | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Solary | 64c | 26.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 349 | 45.6%159 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0782…11e1backed BIG | 43c | 23.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Solary | 65c | 22.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 160 | 43.1%69 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Solary | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 621 | 50.6%314 W · 307 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Solary | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Solary | 65c | 15.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 726 | 37.7%274 W · 452 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Solary vs BIG - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)BIG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Solary vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs BIG - Game 2 WinnerBIG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.