TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will SS Lazio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,319

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,319 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No72c23,578$16,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,652.2996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes29c17,516$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003815.8%6 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-57.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Yes28c10,890$3,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,049.211050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No74c7,987$5,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,111.081,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No73c6,983$5,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,894.462,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No72c3,209$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.521872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No71c1,827$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.184339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Yes28c1,791$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.391225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b7c…3c87backed Yes28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.122142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No77c1,766$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.833026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-51.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No72c1,617$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.763158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes26c1,500$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.942123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-48.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c1,224$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.6868750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No73c1,222$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.5152748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c1,189$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.293252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c1,145$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.9241854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010233.3%34 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Yes27c1,047$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.712766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes29c1,032$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid+23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes29c1,028$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.994037.5%15 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes28c982.14$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2751526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes27c900$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2427248.6%35 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd5…8afbbacked Yes20c900$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+166.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes29c862.07$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5424…b09bbacked Yes28c790.82$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.4330%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes28c789.29$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2214738.3%18 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1f2…b0f3backed Yes27c782.26$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b20…de61backed No72c779.62$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.291668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac14…ad9fbacked Yes26c769.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001040%4 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ae0…8f73backed Yes18c702.88$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.75520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-59.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes28c624.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17526040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes27c526.52$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.14725.5%12 W · 35 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+58.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No71c492.94$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.9516819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes27c475.45$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4226241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes16c468.52$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7612731.5%40 W · 87 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes43c465.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.992560%15 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+44.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cab…8228backed Yes16c434.38$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11212920.2%26 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1806…5234backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.551861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked Yes28c377.57$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.721154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes27c375$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2514742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Yes28c375$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005728.1%16 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15cc…6268backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes29c353.62$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.47666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes29c349.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a28…c488backed Yes28c345.26$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.67560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36c8…2925backed No73c342.47$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.47683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11c6…a66cbacked Yes28c329.78$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d46…d383backed Yes28c321.43$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902040%8 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes29c317.24$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8421445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes28c285.25$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.87520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-74%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No72c284.02$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5340549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No76c270$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6420749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ceb…814fbacked Yes28c267.86$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-41.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e33…73e7backed Yes29c265.52$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7730%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No71c255.74$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1634643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes26c233.88$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9339740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes29c228.95$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7911136.9%41 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85f…7f69backed Yes28c210.71$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No73c205.32$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.0714553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563920.5%8 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb1a…0b60backed No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561782.4%14 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8abb…a7d5backed No72c199.98$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.99966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c3…af88backed Yes28c191.71$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.68616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes23c187.73$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.914347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010451%53 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes28c180$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.42250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6daa…2c78backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcae7…c218backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bd5…8f67backed Yes28c176.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes29c174.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-36.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017538.9%68 W · 107 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes28c160.71$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456653%35 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f43…8be2backed No73c157.74$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.59366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe831…e4dabacked Yes19c157.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010242.2%43 W · 59 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes25c151.6$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0618125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes48c148$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.565967.8%40 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3535…205bbacked No73c137.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa52…cf2dbacked No73c135.45$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.575100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+77.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No72c133.37$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3438547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf0…00c2backed Yes22c130.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc52…fab9backed Yes28c124.15$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0443…3fb1backed Yes28c115.51$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes12c111.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.067138%27 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe2…e1eebacked Yes29c110.34$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes25c109.18$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.334847.9%23 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307837.2%29 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd740…e6d8backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.42per pick41cpaid+250.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No72c106$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6835646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1002…1ef5backed Yes29c105.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes16c104.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17195.3%1 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-87.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.