Serie A · resolved market
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2bf9d05d131d909aa21faaca888a3c48bcc0ad544f1e46346541eea08f63134
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $865,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $865,616 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 564 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Yes | 51c | 196,164$100,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,895.36 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked No | 49c | 70,342$34,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,874.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 62,570$45,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,762 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked No | 48c | 51,559$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,559.42 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 48c | 34,875$16,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,135 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 51c | 33,376$17,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,071.76 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed No | 49c | 28,853$14,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,715.01 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 52c | 26,317$13,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,717.22 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 48c | 24,568$11,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,706.81 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 48c | 21,555$10,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,264.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked No | 47c | 21,278$10,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,277.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,599.94 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 47c | 19,500$9,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,334.95 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…b6babacked Yes | 53c | 19,029$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Yes | 52c | 18,957$9,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,857.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 52c | 17,262$9,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,008.68 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…6f6fbacked Yes | 51c | 17,153$8,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,747.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 48c | 14,087$6,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,325.23 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 49c | 11,588$5,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,870.06 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2682…582abacked Yes | 52c | 11,240$5,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,792.26 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f4…ed78backed No | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 33c | 10,141$3,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,396.15 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Yes | 8c | 8,969$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.13 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…3c87backed No | 49c | 8,162$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,162.42 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 19c | 7,895$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes | 53c | 7,700$4,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -42%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 6c | 7,383$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.31 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 52c | 6,500$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked No | 48c | 6,110$2,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,177.17 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 14c | 6,009$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.29 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,179.99 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 1c | 5,610$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 48c | 5,325$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.4 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 29c | 4,732$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.29 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 49c | 4,582$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.02 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Yes | 20c | 4,082$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 3,806$2,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.49 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked No | 49c | 3,598$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.84 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Yes | 20c | 3,450$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 2,999$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.53 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 75c | 2,860$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 45c | 2,687$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 49c | 2,673$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.23 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 49c | 2,449$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.98 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 51c | 2,363$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 35c | 2,215$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.38 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 49c | 2,169$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.8 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Yes | 51c | 2,157$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked No | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 80c | 2,122$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.42 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 2,073$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.08 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652e…0772backed Yes | 19c | 2,071$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Yes | 36c | 1,938$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b71…c4d0backed Yes | 39c | 1,904$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9963…32e4backed No | 48c | 1,833$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,828$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.93 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 50c | 1,721$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.21 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 52c | 1,710$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed No | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 80c | 1,443$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.71 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked No | 49c | 1,394$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.88 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…a996backed Yes | 17c | 1,200$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 48c | 1,200$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.88 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,176$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.68 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 49c | 1,122$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.45 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 66c | 1,111$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.81 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 127 | 31.5%40 W · 87 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…e685backed Yes | 14c | 1,066$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…665fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,058$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 48c | 1,049$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.69 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…14f5backed Yes | 53c | 1,018$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.73 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…7ba4backed Yes | 53c | 1,005$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed No | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 16c | 999.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Yes | 51c | 990$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 19c | 947.37$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 51c | 917$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.26 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Yes | 16c | 915.16$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.49 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Yes | 52c | 910$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.2 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 47c | 884.97$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.03 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Yes | 40c | 865.38$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…337ebacked Yes | 52c | 834.63$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.01 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe3…31d4backed Yes | 53c | 794.34$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…1d13backed Yes | 32c | 790.13$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will SS Lazio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?No won
- Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.