TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$306,769

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,769 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes21c53,550$11,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,308.614254.8%23 W · 19 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes56c43,513$24,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,300.522,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No45c26,800$12,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,059.988354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No79c20,000$15,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,8003562.9%22 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No43c17,273$7,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,430.2496942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes56c15,783$8,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,926.9934643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No41c13,332$5,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,460.767345.2%33 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No79c12,399$9,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,795.1333148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No79c9,000$7,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,11016045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked No41c7,310$2,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9972650%13 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked No79c5,933$4,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,690.571346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No80c5,267$4,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.1335646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes21c4,762$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,761.91526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No79c4,337$3,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,426.2968750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No79c3,333$2,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,621.197444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No33c3,302$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.391,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes22c3,100$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,428.4913517%23 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes65c3,017$1,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.6793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Yes59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2306132.8%20 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes20c2,839$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,271.097248.6%35 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes58c2,385$1,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.9832843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No42c2,305$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.18342.2%35 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed No43c2,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.993060%18 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No28c1,976$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.5716819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed No79c1,900$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.9313752.6%72 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b7c…3c87backed Yes21c1,786$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.042142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95d0…bdf2backed Yes56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes49c1,658$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.994959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked No80c1,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No28c1,428$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4073026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-51.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes48c1,349$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.264463.6%28 W · 16 L+6.4wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed No40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No78c1,242$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.4641854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Yes20c1,100$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8801330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked No47c1,098$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.082330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed No44c1,073$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4731758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+83.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked No46c1,005$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.339046.7%42 W · 48 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No80c1,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8003354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes21c952.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.382222.7%5 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.48033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes65c898.37$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.2652748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No80c880$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70422348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed No36c834.66$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3032…9b05backed No41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60b9…9ff4backed Yes21c714.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed No39c700$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2712673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No80c686.12$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.5711150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes20c680$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5446829.4%20 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick34cpaid0%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes20c657$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.69149.5%45 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+110.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed No69c653.98$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4505271.2%37 W · 15 L+7.4wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+29.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4ca6…0d08backed No80c652.86$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.29475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed No50c634.14$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.074969.4%34 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked No32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes76c605.51$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.413542.9%15 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes60c567.64$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.6923244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No55c547.27$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30113946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No62c512.13$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.0220749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed No80c500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003756.8%21 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked No41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20515042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59db…1d13backed Yes75c478.81$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.152055%11 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No49c477.71$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.7646742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71ed…67c2backed Yes21c452.14$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.19333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6070…88a8backed No36c448.85$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.411717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-54.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x279a…ffc2backed Yes21c404.76$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.762147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+47.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes20c400$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes20c397.18$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.1944753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked No80c375$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005076%38 W · 12 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+35.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Yes79c364.2$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.983759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c35…2965backed No80c345.61$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.49875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+62.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed No38c340$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.83348.5%16 W · 17 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5440…c640backed No30c330.72$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.22540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed No31c326.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004146.3%19 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1229…84c1backed Yes66c302.2$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes20c300$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24021445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes20c300$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24026046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b18…0390backed No80c300$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed No40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204126.8%11 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-42%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes21c300$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2372157.1%12 W · 9 L+5.9wins+0.28per pick29cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed No34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.762924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes59c298$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2814936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked No53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504231%13 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes55c274.27$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.4214553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1806…5234backed Yes79c264.27$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.51861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2f…c5d0backed No80c250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes58c249.97$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.994535.6%16 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed No41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-4.6wins-0.42per pick60cpaid-75.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x631c…7bfebacked No7c240.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.171936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked No45c223.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No39c209.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.67347.9%35 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No36c206.14$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2126241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3542…24f0backed Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4c3…af88backed Yes21c191.76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.49616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10f1…8136backed No80c187.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-56.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17a7…e494backed Yes55c183.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf2…1ed8backed Yes20c180$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes21c179.98$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.4326040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24f1…537cbacked No57c179.02$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.04633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-47.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Yes57c167.63$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.410353.4%55 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5282…82fcbacked Yes21c166.67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.67944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes21c159$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.618940.4%36 W · 53 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.