TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x15cc…6268

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$381.82
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$84.31
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Ipswich Town FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$709.09
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+535.7%+$428.55
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$95
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$71.11
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 24 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$188.52
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+495.7%+$495.7
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$381.33
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+232.1%+$92.85
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$249.35
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.09
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$170.37
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$276.19
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+127.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.97
Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.58
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.25
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$395.16
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.