Asian League · resolved market
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6592452e610824e634880bbbe7a959ae27191e05363031b40f29b534d1b952fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,548 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 1,574$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.25 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 49c | 983.94$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.81 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Yes | 55c | 911.63$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 51c | 787.23$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.28 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 6c | 599.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…6268backed Yes | 55c | 549.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 46c | 542.08$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.6 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 43c | 424$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.21 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…5e69backed Yes | 56c | 355.99$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 61c | 314.07$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.02 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 18c | 312$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 50c | 212.79$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.96 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 56c | 201.6$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.74 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 192.63$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.82 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…033dbacked No | 10c | 155.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 46c | 142.38$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 78c | 140$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…2c78backed Yes | 38c | 140$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 67c | 133$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 56c | 122.77$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.19 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked No | 70c | 116$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Yes | 35c | 109.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 20c | 103.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 36c | 101.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.94 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 60c | 88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 36c | 69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…6cecbacked Yes | 44c | 68.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 36c | 56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Yes | 36c | 56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 36c | 56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Yes | 49c | 51.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…9d51backed Yes | 45c | 44.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 34c | 40.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked No | 65c | 38.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0630…9368backed Yes | 57c | 37.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…0f11backed Yes | 54c | 37.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 70c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 55c | 33.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…4f8ebacked No | 64c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked No | 65c | 29.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…3d96backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 64c | 24.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 52c | 21.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 62c | 20.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…b8aebacked Yes | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 55c | 20.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Anyang win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.