Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x199cd11e34f96c225153af556d7a6700803014cb01c54bf938a15b20dbc64c44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,023 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 32c | 2,515$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.73 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 1,774$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.76 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,061$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.49 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 596.95$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.66 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 31c | 449$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.19 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 68c | 412$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.84 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 393.44$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.97 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…5e69backed Yes | 38c | 356.41$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 68c | 318$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 67c | 282.73$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.45 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 61c | 131$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 68c | 82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 35c | 71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 68c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…4459backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 29c | 39.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…6cecbacked No | 74c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 78c | 32.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…2723backed No | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed No | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Anyang vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Anyang win on 2026-03-22?No won
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.