TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Sydney FC win on 2026-03-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$192,724

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,724 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes42c58,420$24,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,288.642835.7%10 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No61c25,344$15,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,956.2998844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No58c17,938$10,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,509.6314755.1%81 W · 66 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes27c17,567$4,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,788.0746644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204e…8d08backed Yes0c15,367$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3750%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes1c12,094$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.89277.4%2 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No59c11,178$6,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,611.0343748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes42c11,111$4,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,671.25425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No58c8,424$4,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,567.251283.3%10 W · 2 L+4.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+65.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes40c7,250$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.91353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No58c6,945$4,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,894.1814955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes42c5,026$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,115.184040%16 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No58c5,000$2,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,093.6812055%66 W · 54 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes29c4,192$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.719336.6%34 W · 59 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No59c3,500$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4351275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+50.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No59c2,500$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0252065%13 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+25.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed No61c1,956$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbc…c413backed No64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.5650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No63c1,500$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed No69c1,304$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.261855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked No59c1,291$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.02580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+64.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes37c1,217$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.932133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef1…cea5backed Yes1c1,128$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.411010%1 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-86.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82eb…9287backed Yes41c1,057$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No57c921$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.55558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes38c786.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001625%4 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed No64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.25650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No67c779.01$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.9428659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No58c758.67$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.7230055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No60c700$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No69c700$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21711063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No76c680.67$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.362878.6%22 W · 6 L+5.3wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+48.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed No62c664.43$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.481050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No61c651.21$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.218139.5%32 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9087…457bbacked Yes42c644.9$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Yes42c641.57$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+191.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3541…78debacked No70c567.45$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.71977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No63c564.12$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.2814843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No58c563.4$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.997549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa070…1af3backed No58c560.34$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked No60c556.12$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.45862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No59c542.23$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.4813243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0d…4987backed Yes24c538.26$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc6…df85backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-40.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2051070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2051668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked No59c497.78$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.19560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15cc…6268backed Yes44c477.27$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No72c476.02$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.4812532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes38c471$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.385651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No69c439.21$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.6714047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No59c423.68$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.7724732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes11c421.59$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.069431.9%30 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No69c419.3$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.3610857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d6…bdc2backed No60c416.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…d370backed No60c407.13$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.71771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick42cpaid+86.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes37c406$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.974247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d2…090fbacked No69c401.45$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.792080%16 W · 4 L+4.1wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+49.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Yes34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1361145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No59c385.68$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.7716858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes8c385$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.56129.5%18 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No58c366.84$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.073574.3%26 W · 9 L+8.1wins+0.23per pick51cpaid+49.4%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No59c350$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.51566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+60.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No78c338$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.3623551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No58c328.44$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.9410837%40 W · 68 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed No61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes42c327.41$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.351118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick45cpaid-60.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes41c317.07$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305048%24 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bb2…6fa5backed Yes39c312.79$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+50.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aab…15c5backed Yes38c308.79$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No59c307.08$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.93174.2%23 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+41.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked No61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1171266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+74.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes42c285.71$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No59c273.41$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.547048.6%34 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No59c250$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.56460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No59c250$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.511940.3%48 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No59c249.99$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.51668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007334.2%25 W · 48 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+44.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes40c239.91$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.961154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes43c239.28$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.89757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed No58c223.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3d29backed Yes35c220$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac1…3afebacked No70c213.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.37771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e55…d06cbacked Yes42c212.92$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed No60c211$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.271070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x208b…9613backed No65c200.14$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801010%1 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick35cpaid-71.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf756…59c2backed Yes34c196.56$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes42c187.64$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.81520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-46%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes32c182.98$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.36520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-67.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No58c181.04$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.198747.1%41 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No57c180$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.410448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68c0…7e68backed Yes42c178.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+53.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No59c175$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.751770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No59c175$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.755156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No59c169.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.693050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes41c161.45$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.191643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.