Australian A League · resolved market
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-03-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef25e3c25359c132abe4016684dffa830aa87deb2f4fd2b7bef1f5a5c3b537e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,620 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 19,196$7,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,615.09 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 15,354$8,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,394.8 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 7,091$4,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,725.18 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 65c | 4,201$2,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.93 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Yes | 43c | 3,907$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.59 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed No | 67c | 3,519$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,354.71 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked No | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 13c | 2,323$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.23 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 17c | 2,105$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.13 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 43c | 1,918$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.06 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 66c | 1,647$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.71 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 29c | 1,436$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.76 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 31c | 1,310$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Yes | 61c | 1,204$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 35c | 923.08$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.83 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 33c | 785$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.95 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 30c | 766.28$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.4 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Yes | 32c | 703.69$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed No | 67c | 699.61$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 67c | 699.44$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.04 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 33c | 669.51$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.3 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 70c | 648.17$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.54 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 67c | 523.28$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.28 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…58e4backed Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 44c | 474.76$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.96 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 34c | 470.53$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.31 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked No | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 32c | 453.81$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.48 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 34c | 396.72$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.62 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 33c | 366.54$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.14 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 56c | 346$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 45c | 344.11$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.85 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x394c…158cbacked Yes | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 34c | 281.56$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.83 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 33c | 253.58$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.33 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 34c | 235.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.49 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed No | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 35cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0d…4987backed No | 38c | 198.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Yes | 34c | 191.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.28 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…d491backed Yes | 67c | 185.33$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 28c | 168.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Yes | 33c | 153.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.15 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…305ebacked Yes | 71c | 139.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 33c | 134.64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed No | 66c | 130$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 33c | 116.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.71 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb2…6fa5backed Yes | 33c | 113.18$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…ce9bbacked Yes | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…692abacked No | 25c | 106.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 57c | 105.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Yes | 33c | 104.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.98 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked No | 67c | 103$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 78c | 102.54$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…cfc3backed No | 68c | 101.47$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Yes | 44c | 99.88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 37c | 99.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…51acbacked Yes | 33c | 97.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.21 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 53c | 95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 32c | 94.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.53 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed No | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Yes | 34c | 93.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 29c | 90.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -13.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 58c | 88.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Yes | 32c | 87.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…afabbacked Yes | 36c | 84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 60c | 80.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 39c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.47 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 33c | 67.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d23…2008backed Yes | 68c | 66.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 38c | 66.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 33c | 65.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Yes | 33c | 63.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe966…73acbacked Yes | 65c | 61.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +137.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Yes | 34c | 59.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb9…0f15backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 37cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 34c | 57.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +83%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 34c | 56.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 73c | 55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 38c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 65c | 50.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed Yes | 32c | 47.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…8ca1backed No | 68c | 47.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…4b7fbacked Yes | 80c | 47.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…698cbacked Yes | 33c | 45.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-03-17?this page
- Will Sydney FC vs. Melbourne City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Sydney FC win on 2026-03-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.