Australian A League · resolved market
Will Sydney FC vs. Melbourne City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa757a66e34a093911074d1e5e69140cd9e2090ff6e5541a685ca18a0e6f75aee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,026 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 9,974$7,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.85 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 7,091$5,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.94 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 26c | 6,893$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.11 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 5,190$3,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.37 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 26c | 4,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Yes | 27c | 3,945$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.31 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc6…df85backed Yes | 29c | 1,381$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 1,128$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.23 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 26c | 1,092$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.91 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 29c | 1,002$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.72 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 13c | 961.87$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.61 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed No | 66c | 820$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.56 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9087…457bbacked Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 519.85$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.16 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 476.6$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.94 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 465.72$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.73 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 22c | 451.45$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 26c | 379.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Yes | 26c | 306.74$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 300$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 279.61$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.04 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked No | 73c | 227.34$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +6.2wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…d06cbacked Yes | 26c | 223.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0168…0905backed Yes | 11c | 221.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 26c | 192.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed No | 70c | 183.57$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 73c | 167.71$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…2777backed Yes | 28c | 162.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 72c | 151.43$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 25c | 149.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 25c | 146.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.34per pick | 38cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 19c | 128.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Yes | 30c | 126.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd354…ff2fbacked No | 75c | 119.83$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 22c | 115.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 27c | 114.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…6cefbacked Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa356…86b3backed Yes | 30c | 106.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 74c | 105.11$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 27c | 104.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 21c | 102.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed Yes | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 76c | 95.46$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 75c | 93.32$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes | 26c | 88.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 25c | 83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…4533backed Yes | 27c | 72.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91b1…6eedbacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked Yes | 26c | 69.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 74c | 66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 80c | 53.66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d7…3189backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Yes | 26c | 48.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 30c | 44.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -13.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed No | 75c | 44.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeec0…067bbacked No | 74c | 41.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1329…2ae0backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2192…a4b4backed Yes | 28c | 39.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 75c | 37.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…b945backed No | 78c | 32.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 68c | 18.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sydney FC vs. Melbourne City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-03-17?Yes won
- Will Sydney FC win on 2026-03-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.