TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$429,870

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $429,870 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b71…afd3backed Yes52c135,856$70,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,629.83450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No48c101,193$48,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,516.0717557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Yes51c63,147$32,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,047.357753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0792…b778backed No51c32,936$16,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,148.352040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes51c20,000$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,20011149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No48c16,924$8,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,739.242,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No48c12,983$6,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,751.227945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed No50c11,111$5,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,556.925560%33 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes51c11,000$5,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,609.9913444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Yes53c9,434$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed No48c9,272$4,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,821.611770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No49c8,541$4,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,355.915257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No51c8,485$4,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,165.646,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No49c7,500$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,80013662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No49c7,138$3,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,663.691,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes50c6,072$3,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,035.1251750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes50c5,689$2,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,844.041,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No45c5,529$2,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,061.3714258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed No47c5,500$2,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,910771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+47.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes51c4,596$2,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,332.6715534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No49c4,525$2,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,307.758146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No49c4,500$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,28083459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No50c4,028$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,003.392,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,12020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No50c3,600$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.826567.7%44 W · 21 L+12.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No50c3,576$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,805.887361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No49c3,500$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7859272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes51c3,386$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.3650644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed No50c3,166$1,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,58310838.9%42 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed No50c3,000$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5151675%12 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+38.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes43c2,250$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96534628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No50c2,134$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06710246.1%47 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes49c2,084$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.999949.5%49 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed No49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.822263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb18…6d4ebacked No48c1,943$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick44cpaid+132.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes49c1,927$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.124,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes47c1,841$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.682,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No47c1,815$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.8235652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No49c1,507$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.339254.3%50 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No49c1,500$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76036956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Yes51c1,430$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.45455.6%30 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked No49c1,420$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.412860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+27.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes51c1,405$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.551,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes51c1,316$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6711,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No50c1,272$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.2527552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45016437.2%61 W · 103 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a84…e271backed Yes52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes52c953.01$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.8153344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No49c932.3$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.9384549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No45c905.55$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.6920059.5%119 W · 81 L-0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed No48c841.11$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.3817053.5%91 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No50c743.24$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.6223556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No49c729$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.9421056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed No48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3252458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No50c608.9$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.4530057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30639948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes51c589.25$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes51c573.37$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.427742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked No44c568.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.18875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+55.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No70c559.01$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.321,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed No50c549.4$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.555052%26 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No49c543.66$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.1923250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes42c537.65$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.8645142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No49c535.91$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.771,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Yes51c526.88$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.71728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No49c509.06$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.517327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No50c500$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.565557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2557268.1%49 W · 23 L+13.8wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+42%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No50c500$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.560557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No49c470$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.729259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No49c416.56$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.451,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No50c400$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20235056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed No48c399.96$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.981764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+32.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed No50c394.06$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.032638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes52c382.68$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.9911146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No49c375$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19038358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x15cc…6268backed Yes54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No49c360$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.432357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes42c356.05$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5411534.8%40 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Yes50c352$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1761233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005129.4%15 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No50c350$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.7535157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes51c345.75$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.291,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No50c320$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.627354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed No47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.155851.7%30 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes44c317.41$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8740821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15314553.1%77 W · 68 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No49c300$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15230554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No49c300$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15236758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507045.7%32 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+13.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No49c300$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15226959.9%161 W · 108 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20b1…69d2backed Yes51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No50c280$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.429057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked No50c269$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.53865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd0…07a9backed Yes50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.