TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5a84…e271

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
184
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT13959%82 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 139 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,443Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,442.57
Madrid Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,064Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,063.65
Madrid Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,089Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$1,751.32
Madrid Open: Zizou Bergs vs Marin Cilicbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.85
Shymkent: Radu Albot vs Antoine Ghibaudobacked Antoine Ghibaudo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$119.75
Shymkent: Max Wiskandt vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.39
Madrid Open: Paula Badosa vs Julia Grabherbacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$978Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$977.96
Madrid Open: Tatjana Maria vs Laura Samsonbacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,942Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,942.4
Oeiras 4: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Mona Barthelbacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,871Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,871.04
Oeiras 4: Fiona Ferro vs Bianca Andreescubacked Fiona Ferro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$654.65
Madrid Open, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,798Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,101.7
Madrid Open, Qualification: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Elmer Moellerbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,976Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,976
Shymkent: Ergi Kirkin vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,228Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$911.63
Madrid Open, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$568.03
Madrid Open, Qualification: Ksenia Efremova vs Lulu Sunbacked Ksenia Efremova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+87.8%+$1,877.88
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,277Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$547.11
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,458Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,278.33
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,260.29
Monza: Martin Landaluce vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,298Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$939.61
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Gabriela Ruse vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$323.28
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,921Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49%+$1,920.13
Monza: Martin Landaluce vs Federico Arnaboldibacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,832Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$919.1
Monza: Raphael Collignon vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,333Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$1,052.54
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,555Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,554.77
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniel Altmaier vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,821Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+30%+$545.56
Showing 25 of 139 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,567Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,566.86
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$102
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,627Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$730.98
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$315.79
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$416
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
76ers vs. Jazzbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$197.44
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
76ers vs. Kingsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$171.43
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$169.37
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,232Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+38%+$468
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$310
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$317.98
Heat vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,207Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,207.3
Mavericks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+63.9%+$350.24
Grizzlies vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$798Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$798.39
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$171.28
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$100.28
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+79%+$118.28
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$99.66
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,033Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,032.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.9
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$774Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$774
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.7
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$7.97
All 14 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,864Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$1,579.84
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,184Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$1,061.17
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$706.26
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,047Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,047.17
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,515Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,515.07
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$170
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$571Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$376.54
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africabacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$774Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$773.96
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africabacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,673Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+51%+$852.61
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.99
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$357
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$174.98
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Golden Knightsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$885Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$615
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.