TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Cricket · resolved market

T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africa

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
South Africaof New Zealand, South Africa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$414,666

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $414,666 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe72b…b0a0backed New Zealand71c28,220$20,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,164.378742.5%37 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+209.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3d…4841backed South Africa35c25,148$8,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,252.9315335.3%54 W · 99 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked New Zealand63c10,870$6,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,870.3920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc807…8038backed South Africa47c10,255$4,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,436.983537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed South Africa41c9,835$4,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,812.6912534.4%43 W · 82 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea48…f0ffbacked South Africa57c8,682$4,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,733.037447.3%35 W · 39 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa69b…7b0cbacked South Africa19c7,496$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,082.4622552.4%118 W · 107 L+20.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked New Zealand57c6,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,40011143.2%48 W · 63 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41e1…f9a8backed New Zealand39c4,791$1,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,868.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed South Africa66c3,937$2,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.8631543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed New Zealand26c3,872$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.9917155.6%95 W · 76 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed South Africa54c3,745$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,735.7114852%77 W · 71 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x079a…d3dfbacked New Zealand79c3,727$2,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,945.8110763.6%68 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed South Africa42c3,584$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,061.0419862.6%124 W · 74 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed South Africa45c3,471$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,898.6815429.9%46 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed New Zealand47c3,184$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5086633.3%22 W · 44 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x601a…a675backed South Africa46c3,093$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,682.734242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2a…3daebacked South Africa33c2,689$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,809.289320.4%19 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8de…8c52backed New Zealand58c2,651$1,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,537.58425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66c4…2852backed South Africa38c2,627$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.397261.1%44 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked South Africa26c2,592$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,917.9163646.4%295 W · 341 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed New Zealand58c2,579$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.322850%14 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8781…bc3cbacked South Africa77c2,513$1,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.751136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed South Africa27c2,336$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,698.5429631.1%92 W · 204 L-16.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef51…c0d3backed South Africa79c2,291$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.8516349.7%81 W · 82 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked New Zealand47c2,176$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.335933.9%20 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked South Africa42c2,116$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.1913151.9%68 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x490e…73adbacked New Zealand60c2,076$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.5726130.7%80 W · 181 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e02…d70abacked South Africa44c2,057$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.1136445.6%166 W · 198 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5b3…5878backed South Africa72c1,685$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.62757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed New Zealand59c1,476$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.828925.8%23 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-53%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x81d4…0c51backed New Zealand58c1,349$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked South Africa42c1,200$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70214546.2%67 W · 78 L+16.9wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+17.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5a84…e271backed New Zealand69c1,117$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.961163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked New Zealand45c1,084$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.793537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe36f…1ef4backed South Africa79c1,038$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.336752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c95…8a0bbacked New Zealand57c1,000$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56610356.3%58 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed New Zealand45c989$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.721560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+32.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked New Zealand38c977.57$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.2131050%155 W · 155 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed South Africa27c972.02$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.922955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked New Zealand56c905.4$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.124254.8%23 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0ee…1686backed South Africa50c898.45$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.4718923.8%45 W · 144 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c41…57a6backed South Africa47c886.56$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4676224.2%15 W · 47 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb8e…1d33backed South Africa74c711$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.4727054.4%147 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed South Africa40c664$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.59728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22f3…6c94backed New Zealand55c611.3$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.1736047.5%171 W · 189 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c68…c9b3backed South Africa39c595$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.5722241.9%93 W · 129 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x03cd…d809backed New Zealand57c565.03$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3209661.5%59 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed South Africa38c563.16$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.16862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+86.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed South Africa40c533.37$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.3712923.3%30 W · 99 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed South Africa42c529$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.8237848.1%182 W · 196 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd2…6b02backed New Zealand58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a65…fdb5backed South Africa43c499.98$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.135046%23 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed New Zealand41c491.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed South Africa43c455.44$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.223941%16 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked South Africa53c433$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.23237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a57…913fbacked New Zealand58c430.97$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.2229051.7%150 W · 140 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed South Africa37c411$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.965637.5%21 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed New Zealand13c409.89$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.114543.4%63 W · 82 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac4d…066dbacked South Africa57c407.02$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.0222647.3%107 W · 119 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0646…ad17backed New Zealand12c403$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3532415.7%51 W · 273 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+75.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3052…ca02backed New Zealand63c400$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.8610734.6%37 W · 70 L-9.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed New Zealand36c398.63$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.2165451.1%334 W · 320 L+26.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5630…6ca8backed South Africa61c389.03$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.1211254.5%61 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d5…77d4backed South Africa52c385.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.543348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2dc…f9d3backed South Africa53c378.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.689445.7%43 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed South Africa40c375$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2259740.2%39 W · 58 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09f1…240fbacked New Zealand54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed New Zealand53c366.54$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.118541.6%77 W · 108 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked South Africa50c352.76$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.4964143.1%276 W · 365 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe298…dab6backed South Africa26c349.78$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+92.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed New Zealand59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015650.6%79 W · 77 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked New Zealand38c323.78$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.8650547.5%240 W · 265 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4e…4f43backed New Zealand77c314.72$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.231250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed New Zealand64c313.2$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x901b…59efbacked South Africa32c300$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20513241.7%55 W · 77 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x877f…7acbbacked South Africa74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2903…aa41backed South Africa79c299.06$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.314161%25 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8b0…9f87backed South Africa35c294.66$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.514730.6%45 W · 102 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dad…5386backed South Africa45c291.85$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.747549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd4…adecbacked New Zealand39c291.08$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.631668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2a9…72d2backed New Zealand56c275.93$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed South Africa28c267$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.924143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x976b…cf45backed South Africa39c266.9$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.81475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+57.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x943f…de8bbacked New Zealand61c256.25$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f8…a1afbacked South Africa42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.1825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-53.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4813…236cbacked New Zealand42c237.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003050%15 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a72…62a0backed New Zealand72c236.91$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.644822.9%11 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9af1…df2cbacked South Africa43c232.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.3711134.2%38 W · 73 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x263f…c744backed South Africa45c228.85$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.3513040.8%53 W · 77 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked South Africa49c226.98$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.048949.4%44 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf929…9c10backed New Zealand68c226.88$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.533339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bbf…4a8fbacked South Africa49c218.68$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed New Zealand70c215.97$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.551338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ad…ad96backed New Zealand68c215.12$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.094557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed South Africa40c207$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.21353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe28…3c60backed South Africa47c202.77$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.4719843.4%86 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1971…acd7backed South Africa58c202.13$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4712656.3%71 W · 55 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed New Zealand48c200.27$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.98825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+68.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ab…3c32backed New Zealand58c198.98$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.419956.6%56 W · 43 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.