TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e4e…4f43

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT3339.4%13 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-33.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Swansea City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$40.05
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,511Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,511
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$86.74
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$358.63
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$5.33
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$40.88
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$30.27
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$184.59
Will Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$162
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+400%+$80
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$187
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$88.89
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$931Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$703.65
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.24
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Bucks vs. Jazzbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.95
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.19
Warriors vs. Wizardsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$18.12
Trail Blazers vs. Netsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Lakersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,519.54
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.67
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$250.82
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+56.7%+$18.1
All 18 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+166%+$18.26
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$13.05
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+30%+$17.73
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africabacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.23
Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+109.3%+$326.29
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$310.11
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs New Zealandbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$95.08
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$26.42
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Englandbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$318.72
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,263Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+58.9%+$1,920.94
International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 4)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.59
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+509.2%+$61.11
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.64
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$74.06
Will Hungary vs. Greece end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Will Libya vs. Niger end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$44.22
Will Iceland win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$9.96
Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$143.44
Will Switzerland win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Paraguay win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$47.35
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-53.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-58.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+132.6%+$15.21
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Islanders vs. Blackhawksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+33.3%+$7.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNB all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Solana all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Bowling Green Falconsbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+212.5%+$27.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+104.1%+$22.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$60.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+41.5%+$6.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+25.3%+$9.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marcos Giron vs Alexander Bublikbacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$43.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$228.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.