Fifa International · resolved market
Will Libya vs. Niger end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc0ea67c584959f56e4ab027db4f2ae8e0dd25e96275d68ae6f3e1a8491ac234
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 66c | 2,000$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.42 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 65c | 1,423$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.86 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 12c | 1,400$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 66c | 949$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.78 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 921.85$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.59 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 39c | 786.55$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.86 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 63c | 570.41$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.34 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…82d1backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4e…4f43backed Yes | 77c | 189.22$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 71c | 177.55$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.29 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…6cecbacked No | 58c | 170.02$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked No | 59c | 166.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.46 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 35c | 98.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 51c | 93.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 35c | 91.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.32 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 38c | 84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 13c | 80.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db5…e9babacked Yes | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 33c | 76.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 73.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 80c | 66$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 62c | 57.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 28c | 41.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 34c | 36.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 35.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 59c | 35.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…7ed0backed Yes | 33c | 34.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 33.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…87e5backed Yes | 35c | 31.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Yes | 54c | 25.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe89a…467ebacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 62c | 17.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 341 | 44.3%151 W · 190 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Libya vs. Niger end in a draw?this page
- Will Libya win on 2026-03-27?No won
- Will Niger win on 2026-03-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.