Fifa International · resolved market
Will Libya win on 2026-03-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c891992921f6e82014ae47118596b824fc99a8bc81d25e61ac2679d04d007cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 3,398$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.1 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 43c | 2,405$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.97 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 62c | 2,324$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.94 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 43c | 2,215$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.67 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 34c | 1,985$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.61 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 62c | 634.91$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.11 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 57c | 520.15$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.67 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 34c | 474.85$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.06 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…95ffbacked Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…cfe5backed Yes | 37c | 359.05$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.85 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 37c | 270.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 63c | 220.81$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.67 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 48c | 209.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x247f…a926backed Yes | 37c | 194.59$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 43c | 163.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.32 | 158 | 59.5%94 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…6cecbacked No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Yes | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 22c | 137.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 27c | 136.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Yes | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Yes | 42c | 126.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 110.11$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 56c | 95.91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked No | 61c | 94.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 43c | 92.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 59c | 82.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed Yes | 42c | 71.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf25…636dbacked No | 62c | 70.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Yes | 43c | 69.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…91dcbacked Yes | 43c | 69.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Yes | 44c | 68.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 66.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…ed55backed Yes | 32c | 63.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 43c | 59.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 57c | 59.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…2020backed Yes | 37c | 51.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 34c | 51.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb070…4761backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7db5…e9babacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…87e5backed No | 62c | 46.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked No | 49c | 45.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…5401backed Yes | 42c | 44.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 63c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 63c | 40.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 57c | 38.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 54c | 34.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 57c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 59c | 31.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 31.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 78c | 29.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 43c | 27.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 61c | 18.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 341 | 44.3%151 W · 190 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked No | 62c | 16.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Libya win on 2026-03-27?this page
- Will Libya vs. Niger end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Niger win on 2026-03-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.