Fifa International · resolved market
Will Niger win on 2026-03-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe05d03972317cec5a7afa78526aba0b47b2b1aaa7f80be249eeb184855d74dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 24c | 2,264$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.85 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 74c | 2,263$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.99 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 26c | 1,752$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.91 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 25c | 1,427$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.97 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 1,331$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.16 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 76c | 885.64$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.29 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 72c | 782.56$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.29 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 79c | 684.01$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.31 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 79c | 556.73$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.35 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 20c | 519.17$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.83 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 23c | 406.72$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.87 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb56a…e658backed Yes | 21c | 251.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 242.53$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 27c | 138.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 18c | 128.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 21c | 126.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 75c | 86.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac5e…87d1backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 74c | 79.13$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 74c | 62.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…ed55backed Yes | 21c | 61.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 59.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 22c | 50.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…87e5backed No | 77c | 43.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x857b…8eeebacked Yes | 31c | 36.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 74c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe89a…467ebacked No | 73c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 18.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 16.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 73c | 15.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed No | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.81 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Niger win on 2026-03-27?this page
- Will Libya vs. Niger end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Libya win on 2026-03-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.