Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e79f4b283661fe8aca0fe14f8992cd438d757f091f4e72d64693271ba9ed812
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $301,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,683 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 33,120$24,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,627.5 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 23c | 20,107$4,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,441.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 33cpaid | +154.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 7,759$5,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,732.66 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 7,196$5,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,756.76 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 50c | 7,122$3,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,542.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 48c | 7,087$3,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,702.97 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 20c | 5,940$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,752 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 65c | 5,289$3,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,452.95 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 5,142$4,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,113.6 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Yes | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes | 23c | 4,348$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,347.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,166.67 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Yes | 22c | 3,882$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.22 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 3,762$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.63 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 17c | 3,000$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.8 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 70c | 2,844$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.26 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…62c9backed Yes | 20c | 2,720$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Yes | 45c | 2,710$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc4…803dbacked Yes | 20c | 2,600$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…c02bbacked Yes | 20c | 2,550$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 46c | 2,110$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.77 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.33 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 12c | 1,901$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.33 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3708…cebebacked Yes | 22c | 1,893$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 47c | 1,878$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.12 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe970…d76abacked Yes | 61c | 1,650$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 20c | 1,570$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 80c | 1,499$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.15 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…b673backed Yes | 25c | 1,348$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +304%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 80c | 1,239$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.3 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 17c | 1,174$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.51 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa455…3ef0backed Yes | 46c | 1,085$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…e7babacked Yes | 75c | 1,084$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 49c | 1,071$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.2 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…fc9bbacked Yes | 53c | 1,023$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 73c | 1,009$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.03 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 28c | 999.99$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.52 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed No | 73c | 950.43$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.8 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 80c | 939$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.2 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Yes | 22c | 910.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…b48fbacked Yes | 26c | 885.49$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.57 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 29c | 862.19$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.19 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 19c | 810.89$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.82 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 80c | 797.7$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.16 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 80c | 775.5$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.4 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b4…a52ebacked No | 43c | 695.35$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 24c | 634.06$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.06 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c1…e445backed Yes | 65c | 625.61$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 20c | 620$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 20c | 600$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 72c | 591.5$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 27c | 584.13$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.95 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 74c | 560.74$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.13 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x575b…1825backed No | 77c | 554$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…afe5backed Yes | 23c | 554$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c31…23cbbacked Yes | 57c | 507.62$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9725backed Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Yes | 24c | 483$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.08 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…b190backed Yes | 64c | 468.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes | 22c | 455.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 72c | 403.26$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.07 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Yes | 27c | 400$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…69b8backed Yes | 72c | 391.01$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…c249backed Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cd…6234backed Yes | 20c | 356.12$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +242.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 20c | 350.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.42 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 30c | 339.97$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.69 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x545a…bff5backed Yes | 21c | 338.55$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +371.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4f…ccbbbacked Yes | 21c | 318.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 60c | 304$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.6 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked No | 66c | 303$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 63cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 20c | 301.2$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…762dbacked Yes | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9101…78ddbacked Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 53c | 298.67$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.19 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87c…da0cbacked No | 34c | 291.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 52c | 289.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.46 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 287.68$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.29 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x315d…b420backed Yes | 34c | 277.39$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb48e…d489backed Yes | 22c | 254.45$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…4befbacked No | 20c | 254.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…6268backed Yes | 16c | 252.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +127.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1090…3ad3backed Yes | 54c | 246.41$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…8fb9backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Yes | 24c | 236.54$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa399…b304backed Yes | 54c | 234.31$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1019…1f27backed Yes | 54c | 231.35$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 74c | 228.57$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…9806backed Yes | 73c | 227.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 42c | 225.56$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-14?No won
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.