TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x33db…b673

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: F1, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category F1 at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.97
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$637Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$637.35
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+250.9%+$504.14
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.55
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.2
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$115.38
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$503.91
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$345.08
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$104.9
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.34
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$147.68
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.99
All 13 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick28cpaid+47.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
F1 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$286.76
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,459.1
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.59
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$687.89
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+151.2%+$326.26
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$387
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.75
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+188.5%+$528.98
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.98
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-53.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.51
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$54.2
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.11
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.77
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.66
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$64.81
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.27
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.92
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.75
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.86
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$850Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+67.9%+$576.68
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick74cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Tricksters vs Next UP (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 Playoffsbacked Next UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$26.17
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - TESFED League Playoffsbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 9INE (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$179.07
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.4
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$20.89
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$15.86
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$12.58
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$73.82
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$56.18
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$135.42
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$82.66
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+96.1%+$504.92
All 9 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.65
Parma: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$45.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SK Brann vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.72
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$401.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,128.73
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+304%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+304%+$1,014.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$59.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$90.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$79.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffsbacked InterActive Philippines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.