TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,893,699
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,238,787

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,893,699 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 5,891 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb012…2ac3backed Yes47c6,928,014$3,290,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,290,000.320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No52c1,236,304$644,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591,581.5274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e25…d49ebacked No53c1,132,079$600,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532,077.013360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed No54c1,011,194$546,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465,149.443345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes47c930,149$440,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440,842.352,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5966…f804backed No54c737,590$398,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339,291.552669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked No54c729,013$393,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335,346.07862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked No53c601,563$316,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285,105.868440.5%34 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4761…5ae8backed No52c589,394$306,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282,736.383040%12 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a55…f9bebacked No52c568,473$295,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272,866.86944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe22a…2703backed Yes49c500,000$244,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244,0001338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No51c482,924$247,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235,684.9814139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2dd…4a23backed Yes49c400,000$196,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196,0001637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed No53c350,673$185,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164,816.4619644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes47c349,333$165,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165,270.262,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed No53c337,853$177,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160,169.2115552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc67a…f0b6backed Yes49c300,000$146,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146,0002123.8%5 W · 16 L-5.6wins-0.27per pick51cpaid-52.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xba45…ee26backed Yes48c285,662$137,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137,117.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+98.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes49c266,701$130,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130,433.318,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No52c264,251$137,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126,840.6310740.2%43 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No52c252,937$132,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120,196.6556541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No44c249,276$109,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139,504.451,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed No53c247,440$130,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117,045.627346.6%34 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No53c230,504$121,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108,778.6777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Yes47c227,811$106,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106,160.2311642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bb7…1e18backed Yes47c208,134$97,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97,822.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes49c204,100$100,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,0095839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No51c204,082$104,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,000.1220955.5%116 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Yes47c200,000$94,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94,00014248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Yes48c198,785$95,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95,416.92218.2%4 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-60.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1925…4654backed No53c186,478$98,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,644.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed No52c176,000$91,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,479.797949.4%39 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed No53c166,665$88,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,776.8911647.4%55 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No52c140,000$72,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,599.957941.8%33 W · 46 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No51c135,347$69,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,319.95334%18 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked No52c134,949$70,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,823.796448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed No52c120,000$62,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,599.963237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes47c118,078$55,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,409.0317452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed No51c100,000$51,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,0002147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+65.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed No65c100,000$65,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,999.9417034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No52c99,000$51,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,609.9816331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No52c81,109$42,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,891.6529952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed No52c80,275$41,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,912.756149.2%30 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No53c70,888$37,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,623.9921836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes46c66,343$30,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,276.4733538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No48c65,267$31,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,782.561,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No52c62,899$32,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,390.6116835.1%59 W · 109 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes48c62,726$30,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,086.231,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcfb…efc0backed Yes50c60,000$29,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,799.997129.6%21 W · 50 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No76c58,557$44,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,087.811,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No51c56,735$28,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,799.9518738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes47c54,092$25,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,451.762,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe964…03cbbacked Yes47c53,311$25,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,249.251136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-33.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb230…6e5abacked Yes49c53,080$26,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,0091145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked Yes49c50,000$24,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,50013959.7%83 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eaf…a3a1backed Yes46c50,000$23,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,0003930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Yes46c49,999$23,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,199.747455.4%41 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed No51c49,941$25,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,404.679247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No52c48,536$25,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,501.221,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes46c48,007$22,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,157.3838734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No52c46,707$24,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,428.541,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed No52c45,613$23,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,056.383161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes79c43,002$33,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,971.6642541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No52c42,985$22,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,810.597642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd471…edf8backed No52c42,500$21,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,597.976645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed No52c42,308$22,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,307.699747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No53c40,000$21,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,70074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No52c39,998$20,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,198.9627039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No52c38,969$20,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,685.8816244.4%72 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No49c38,756$18,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,949.0215844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked No52c38,225$19,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,537.982343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2f3…37f9backed Yes48c35,470$17,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,025.65543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc71…d033backed No52c34,687$18,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,649.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+24.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes47c34,508$16,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,119.0124441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed No52c32,757$17,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,575.4614551%74 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Yes46c32,609$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00036031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes44c32,025$13,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,934.5879231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No55c31,552$17,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,126.1117842.7%76 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes63c30,314$19,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,086.344,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Yes47c30,000$14,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,10023942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Yes49c30,000$14,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,699.956045%27 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7650…fac1backed No52c28,847$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,846.354153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85e8…474abacked No54c28,568$15,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,205.457843.6%34 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked No52c25,000$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,0005263.5%33 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No52c23,699$12,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,446.6420044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No52c23,652$12,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,396.5519252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No53c23,317$12,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,959.085244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x313d…4b1abacked Yes47c21,816$10,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,253.681020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-70.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Yes22c21,816$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,800.1623540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes48c21,315$10,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,221.0751228.9%148 W · 364 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x635c…45c6backed Yes47c21,277$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0003554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed Yes48c21,000$10,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,08030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8239…d9a3backed Yes48c20,833$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0004843.8%21 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No51c20,754$10,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,091.591,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9828…0f7ebacked No51c20,500$10,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0453046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No51c20,422$10,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,976.4476048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No53c20,000$10,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,40025038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No53c20,000$10,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,40029646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed No52c20,000$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,499.9921937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd7…8772backed No42c20,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,599.815518.2%10 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.