Fifa International · resolved market
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2153377bdb8920a0d3227e9a2a68ddb9a001025918b695fe55f66677836e62c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,893,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,238,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,893,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 5,891 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb012…2ac3backed Yes | 47c | 6,928,014$3,290,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,290,000.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 52c | 1,236,304$644,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591,581.52 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…d49ebacked No | 53c | 1,132,079$600,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532,077.01 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed No | 54c | 1,011,194$546,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465,149.44 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 47c | 930,149$440,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440,842.35 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed No | 54c | 737,590$398,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339,291.55 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked No | 54c | 729,013$393,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335,346.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked No | 53c | 601,563$316,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285,105.86 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4761…5ae8backed No | 52c | 589,394$306,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282,736.38 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a55…f9bebacked No | 52c | 568,473$295,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272,866.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…2703backed Yes | 49c | 500,000$244,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244,000 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 51c | 482,924$247,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235,684.98 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2dd…4a23backed Yes | 49c | 400,000$196,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196,000 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed No | 53c | 350,673$185,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164,816.46 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 47c | 349,333$165,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165,270.26 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…2d54backed No | 53c | 337,853$177,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160,169.21 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc67a…f0b6backed Yes | 49c | 300,000$146,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146,000 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.6wins | -0.27per pick | 51cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xba45…ee26backed Yes | 48c | 285,662$137,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137,117.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 49c | 266,701$130,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130,433.31 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 52c | 264,251$137,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126,840.63 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 52c | 252,937$132,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,196.65 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 44c | 249,276$109,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139,504.45 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed No | 53c | 247,440$130,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117,045.62 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 53c | 230,504$121,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,778.67 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Yes | 47c | 227,811$106,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106,160.23 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb7…1e18backed Yes | 47c | 208,134$97,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,822.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 49c | 204,100$100,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,009 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 51c | 204,082$104,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,000.12 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Yes | 47c | 200,000$94,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,000 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Yes | 48c | 198,785$95,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,416.9 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed No | 53c | 186,478$98,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,644.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed No | 52c | 176,000$91,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,479.79 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed No | 53c | 166,665$88,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,776.89 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked No | 52c | 140,000$72,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,599.95 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 51c | 135,347$69,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,319.9 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked No | 52c | 134,949$70,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,823.79 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed No | 52c | 120,000$62,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,599.96 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes | 47c | 118,078$55,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,409.03 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed No | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,000 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed No | 65c | 100,000$65,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,999.94 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 52c | 99,000$51,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,609.98 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 52c | 81,109$42,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,891.65 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed No | 52c | 80,275$41,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,912.75 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 53c | 70,888$37,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,623.99 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Yes | 46c | 66,343$30,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,276.47 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 48c | 65,267$31,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,782.56 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 52c | 62,899$32,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,390.61 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 48c | 62,726$30,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,086.23 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfb…efc0backed Yes | 50c | 60,000$29,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,799.99 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 76c | 58,557$44,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,087.81 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 51c | 56,735$28,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,799.95 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 47c | 54,092$25,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,451.76 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…03cbbacked Yes | 47c | 53,311$25,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,249.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…6e5abacked Yes | 49c | 53,080$26,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,009 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…e80abacked Yes | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,500 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eaf…a3a1backed Yes | 46c | 50,000$23,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,000 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Yes | 46c | 49,999$23,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,199.74 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed No | 51c | 49,941$25,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,404.67 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 48,536$25,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,501.22 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 46c | 48,007$22,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,157.38 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 46,707$24,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,428.54 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed No | 52c | 45,613$23,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,056.38 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 79c | 43,002$33,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,971.66 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 52c | 42,985$22,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,810.59 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd471…edf8backed No | 52c | 42,500$21,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,597.97 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf751…fec8backed No | 52c | 42,308$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,307.69 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 53c | 40,000$21,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,700 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 52c | 39,998$20,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,198.96 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 52c | 38,969$20,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,685.88 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 49c | 38,756$18,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,949.02 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked No | 52c | 38,225$19,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,537.98 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f3…37f9backed Yes | 48c | 35,470$17,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,025.6 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc71…d033backed No | 52c | 34,687$18,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,649.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 47c | 34,508$16,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,119.01 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed No | 52c | 32,757$17,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,575.46 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Yes | 46c | 32,609$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 44c | 32,025$13,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,934.58 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 55c | 31,552$17,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,126.11 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 30,314$19,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,086.34 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Yes | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,100 | 239 | 42.3%101 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…f320backed Yes | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,699.95 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7650…fac1backed No | 52c | 28,847$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,846.35 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 54c | 28,568$15,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,205.45 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked No | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 52c | 23,699$12,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,446.64 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 52c | 23,652$12,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,396.55 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 53c | 23,317$12,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,959.08 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…4b1abacked Yes | 47c | 21,816$10,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,253.68 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Yes | 22c | 21,816$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800.16 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 48c | 21,315$10,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,221.07 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635c…45c6backed Yes | 47c | 21,277$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Yes | 48c | 21,000$10,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,080 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Yes | 48c | 20,833$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 51c | 20,754$10,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,091.59 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9828…0f7ebacked No | 51c | 20,500$10,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,045 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 51c | 20,422$10,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,976.44 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed No | 52c | 20,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,499.99 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd7…8772backed No | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,599.81 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?this page
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?No won
- Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.