TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$312,541
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$348,785

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,541 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 445 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc974…b33bbacked No42c24,390$10,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,170.073641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No41c22,627$9,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,373.73,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd29…77aebacked Yes58c21,414$12,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,994.023250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes60c20,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,999.992958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes57c20,000$11,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,599.972259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No40c15,460$6,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,210.825947.5%28 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No40c13,778$5,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,577.421526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-49%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0294…138cbacked Yes55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,500366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Yes61c8,197$4,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,197.633100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No40c6,640$2,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6561136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes54c6,000$3,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,737.0110061%61 W · 39 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes53c5,668$2,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,686.711172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+30.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes57c5,635$3,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.589668.8%66 W · 30 L+11.3wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+14.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes62c5,359$3,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.581,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05012832.8%42 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Yes60c4,494$2,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.74977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No40c4,132$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.81338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e1…e25abacked Yes63c3,899$2,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No42c3,868$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.565639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No31c3,699$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.0912057.5%69 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes59c3,649$2,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.275635.7%20 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Yes58c3,445$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.81862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes63c3,390$2,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.292,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No36c3,333$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.932737%10 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No46c3,159$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.794254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Yes53c3,011$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.371338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-20.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed No39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.992860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.91728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes71c2,777$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.562454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+30%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No42c2,724$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1443360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf13d…afc3backed Yes57c2,651$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.535100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked No42c2,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0502853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5721…6746backed No42c2,336$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked No42c2,100$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8823046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes56c2,053$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.456073.3%44 W · 16 L+9.6wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+41.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8203354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8005545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9897…c033backed Yes61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes58c1,983$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.6511674.1%86 W · 30 L+18.9wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+34.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes59c1,925$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.49054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes67c1,896$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.3579532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes58c1,852$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.8610768.2%73 W · 34 L+15.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+24.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xedf7…5ac3backed Yes72c1,770$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No38c1,728$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.9296947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes58c1,706$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.697677.6%59 W · 17 L+13.5wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+35.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes57c1,700$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7315653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked No42c1,634$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.462626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes53c1,509$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.756154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No39c1,450$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.531849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No41c1,400$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.8856849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes65c1,350$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.927644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No38c1,306$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.1144952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes68c1,239$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.9219250.5%97 W · 95 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed No42c1,226$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed No42c1,131$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No42c1,125$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.52825%7 W · 21 L-8.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-59.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xeb75…6dd0backed Yes80c1,125$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed No42c1,124$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4726647%31 W · 35 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed No42c1,117$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.222352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No42c1,110$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.22441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No42c1,106$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.525135.3%18 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked Yes79c1,056$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.85742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes70c1,045$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.454264.3%27 W · 15 L+8.6wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+51.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes51c1,020$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.952254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.313666.2%90 W · 46 L+12.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4903259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed No44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-42.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4104856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes73c990.55$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.25650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd49…03b8backed Yes53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No39c895.83$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.3814042.1%59 W · 81 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Yes55c894.05$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.05580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+69.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No40c877.11$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.6991950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed No59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b9…ad06backed No42c805.83$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe505…3068backed Yes57c799.32$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+113.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff57…56d1backed No30c770$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8310…c875backed Yes59c711.86$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.86475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes61c658.53$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.53683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+58.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes58c655.73$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.416855.9%38 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dfa…1d81backed Yes59c623.73$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.73333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No44c614.44$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.685234.6%18 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No39c608.1$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.4416543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes41c600$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35410034%34 W · 66 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xae92…d367backed Yes64c599.94$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3463…cde3backed Yes59c597.84$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes59c581.05$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.234360.5%26 W · 17 L+8.4wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+60.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x8643…0f54backed No40c562.26$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.911060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bb7…4a53backed No35c520.11$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.241060%6 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+78.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed No38c513.3$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.05450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Yes59c509.79$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.35850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked Yes59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.47862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+56.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No31c495$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.45520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-71.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes48c474.15$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.563135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No28c450$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1269748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked No41c439.02$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes66c417$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.1310761.7%66 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes50c409.3$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.6523461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.