TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,355
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,947

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,355 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No79c8,058$6,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.212,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe54…3eddbacked Yes24c3,246$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-68.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No72c3,148$2,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.491172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+30.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes15c2,597$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3826119.7%12 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes25c2,524$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.43,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No76c2,507$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.5891950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes24c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes6c2,004$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.095621.4%12 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-57%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No76c1,996$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.9310452.9%55 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes18c1,500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27011226.8%30 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes28c1,338$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.827644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Yes23c1,300$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2991225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb75…6dd0backed Yes19c1,144$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No77c999.98$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2309054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No77c995.65$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2291861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No75c900$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.1913666.2%90 W · 46 L+12.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No76c710.52$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.4896947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes23c652.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.29per pick44cpaid-82.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked No76c500$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1184748.9%23 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes29c487.83$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3538047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes19c461.32$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.358130.9%25 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes14c400$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-52.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes22c362.07$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.233836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No76c334.99$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.431849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked Yes18c332.78$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+123.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Yes24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick57cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Yes17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa359…4387backed No65c293.85$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.85475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No77c248.26$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5816543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes16c247.16$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.745234.6%18 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x679f…feabbacked Yes17c235.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-39.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes23c215.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6416242.6%69 W · 93 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed No77c202.03$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.471681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick61cpaid+32.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xecad…875cbacked Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483225%8 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No77c171.74$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.55947.5%28 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No77c170.18$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6525157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c04…1844backed Yes17c170$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.92334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No76c141.67$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6211749.6%58 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe97…b39ebacked Yes17c133.86$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2812…9c8bbacked Yes23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-41.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No77c125$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.752944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes23c119.81$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275525.5%14 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfab3…1f0abacked Yes11c118.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No77c116.81$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8712057.5%69 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9112…c8bbbacked Yes22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No76c105.26$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2611246.4%52 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No79c100.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1819250.5%97 W · 95 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77a8…91fdbacked Yes26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94bf…ee06backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-48.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d85…5c50backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-70.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x180a…54a6backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes25c82.72$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8416013.1%21 W · 139 L-18.8wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-47%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes30c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.351,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No77c78.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16a…d1e4backed No76c77.79$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.83633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-38.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8874…0a5cbacked Yes42c77$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes15c76.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.546030%18 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked No70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.432650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes23c69.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Yes23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41dd…6c94backed No77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92ac…16cdbacked Yes36c60.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8160%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No77c60.37$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.058261%50 W · 32 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes26c58.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1974155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes20c54.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9511839.8%47 W · 71 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes24c51.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.31618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed No76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1244156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No68c49.54$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.852070%14 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4274…0e2fbacked Yes24c45.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No78c40.91$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No76c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.65745.6%26 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96f4…b9debacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No78c36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.923661.1%22 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No78c34.61$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6120048%96 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No60c33.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.635944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No77c26.75$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1563857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7845348.3%219 W · 234 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea65…d27dbacked No77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.65680.4%45 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No76c19.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.810863.9%69 W · 39 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No76c17.35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1711168.5%76 W · 35 L+10.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+17.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No77c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.6811562.6%72 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No80c14.37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.8720244.6%90 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No79c13.13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.756849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.