TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,209,383
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,048,415

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,209,383 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 3,047 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed64…217dbacked No9c4,740,804$429,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,311,741.732100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+565.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Yes66c2,454,998$1,616,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616,998.972751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked No8c977,328$81,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895,919.5233538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No13c848,133$107,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740,619.464,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed No15c763,455$114,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648,998.9917034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes55c710,166$392,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392,940.088,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4761…5ae8backed No23c502,236$117,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384,717.43040%12 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No16c451,912$71,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380,231.8456541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No7c422,797$29,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393,201.342552%13 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+140%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Yes4c336,184$14,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,727.2313738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes70c325,981$229,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229,174.792,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No49c309,134$150,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158,824.2415844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89dd…f662backed No9c300,000$27,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273,0002774.1%20 W · 7 L+7.8wins+0.29per pick45cpaid+98.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Yes38c213,270$80,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,008.7738333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe613…540ebacked No8c212,247$17,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195,166.83850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+165.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No22c164,000$36,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127,791.725038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed No31c147,956$45,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,677.938440.5%34 W · 50 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No13c146,095$19,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126,998.829943.4%43 W · 56 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No9c144,865$12,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132,510.5429952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No34c136,367$46,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,900.761,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No9c134,624$12,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122,128.7516244.4%72 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No23c132,841$30,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,582.4414139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes33c128,937$42,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,439.093,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No8c117,476$9,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108,025.5414732%47 W · 100 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed No8c113,324$8,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,502.926429.7%19 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ceb…6fc7backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked No8c99,347$7,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,398.815456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes71c96,650$68,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,550.3438734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes16c95,954$15,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,707.2749441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No34c92,339$31,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,690.1877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Yes64c80,640$52,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,00014248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked No8c78,400$6,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,025.8420844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No46c72,329$33,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,258.3921738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x882f…a8c0backed Yes74c71,000$52,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,259.735366%35 W · 18 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x794d…53c8backed Yes27c67,681$18,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,006.225240.4%21 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6149…b48cbacked Yes56c62,250$34,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,989.964535.6%16 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No19c60,184$11,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,695.8565651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86d2…731dbacked No10c56,582$5,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,923.917343.8%32 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8740…6facbacked No8c52,747$4,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,527.692133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+78.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed No8c49,999$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,999.279253.3%49 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No25c49,298$12,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,951.531,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No8c48,227$3,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,333.251,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No38c44,855$17,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,652.4631945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6501…1220backed Yes21c42,414$8,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,8524667.4%31 W · 15 L+9.3wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+41.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed No8c41,240$3,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,9417445.9%34 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd61f…a873backed Yes5c40,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003218.8%6 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-60%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Yes49c40,000$19,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,599.991533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked No9c39,999$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,199.5122846.9%107 W · 121 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19f3…4a8dbacked Yes1c39,938$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.384070%28 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes80c38,252$30,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,416.314,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No43c36,463$15,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,798.011,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc15b…38afbacked Yes79c36,428$28,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,778.253063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x413f…47f3backed Yes76c35,000$26,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,599.962231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-35.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf3a4…097fbacked Yes61c34,285$20,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,992.6910045%45 W · 55 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes68c33,388$22,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,543.7979231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes39c33,000$12,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,880.3132031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No9c32,436$2,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,597.179627.1%26 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No9c31,447$2,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,724.982,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b9…f378backed No10c30,282$3,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,253.86929%20 W · 49 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No25c30,195$7,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,725.3330117.9%54 W · 247 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No8c30,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,60014055.7%78 W · 62 L+15.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+22.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes37c26,780$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00031644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No8c26,635$2,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,504.3925844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…d87cbacked Yes19c26,530$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002532%8 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid+35.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5fb…7a6fbacked Yes76c26,190$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0001942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe733…8ed4backed Yes19c26,023$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd471…edf8backed No27c25,918$6,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,000.526645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed No9c25,283$2,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,101.9284751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Yes42c25,021$10,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,534.4511647.4%55 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe6…7027backed No13c24,940$3,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,697.58666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+121.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes22c24,899$5,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,424.5216833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3c…670dbacked Yes79c24,765$19,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,564.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No41c23,498$9,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,788.2564850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes76c22,000$16,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,718.3220044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed No8c21,789$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,062.717414.4%25 W · 149 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No8c21,787$1,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,944.887038.6%27 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes29c20,258$5,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,878.6233337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed No8c20,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,399.721529.9%15 W · 137 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No47c19,769$9,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,556.3131945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x128b…bee9backed Yes79c18,881$14,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,850.816956.5%39 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+57.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53b7…45e5backed Yes0c18,120$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x578a…c898backed Yes73c17,174$12,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,546.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No42c16,706$6,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,751.1437644.9%169 W · 207 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No10c16,250$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,624.937646.1%35 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeec…5851backed Yes56c16,131$9,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,092.354645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x85e8…474abacked No8c15,771$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,509.27843.6%34 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31cb…a34bbacked No8c15,566$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,320.454936.7%18 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x111a…12c3backed Yes64c15,566$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Yes12c15,488$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,806.0823540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed No19c15,332$2,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,419.018135.8%29 W · 52 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No9c15,010$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,731.381,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No33c15,000$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,05074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No9c14,962$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,652.9448152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No8c14,715$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,537.788139.5%32 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedef…03b6backed Yes35c14,565$5,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,169.9140%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd879…d744backed No49c13,647$6,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,000.43450%17 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No68c13,146$8,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,271.382,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1ec…2d0ebacked Yes72c13,000$9,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,4009719.6%19 W · 78 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No8c12,690$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,674.79322.6%21 W · 72 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No8c12,527$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,488.6640239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.