UFC · resolved market
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x713444b8de6ee01bf18a3da3b3fa54fb22d985c766aa53f446d37566ef16f1ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joshua Vanof Tatsuro Taira, Joshua Van
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,278,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,515,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,278,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Tatsuro Taira | 60c | 526,536$317,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317,454.35 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Joshua Van | 38c | 499,026$188,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310,084.62 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Tatsuro Taira | 69c | 122,266$84,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,757.27 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…ec43backed Tatsuro Taira | 60c | 101,639$61,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,421.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Joshua Van | 39c | 100,000$39,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,999.78 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa380…21ffbacked Tatsuro Taira | 61c | 92,582$56,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,474.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Joshua Van | 40c | 87,594$35,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,556.26 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Tatsuro Taira | 59c | 80,198$47,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,158.47 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c9…396dbacked Tatsuro Taira | 61c | 65,024$39,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,664.41 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…f091backed Joshua Van | 41c | 59,304$24,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,875.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b62…db9cbacked Joshua Van | 40c | 50,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +167.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Joshua Van | 40c | 45,984$18,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,590.31 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Joshua Van | 52c | 42,033$21,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,353.41 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Joshua Van | 40c | 35,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,000 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Tatsuro Taira | 50c | 33,000$16,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,430 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Joshua Van | 39c | 32,956$12,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,103.16 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Tatsuro Taira | 18c | 31,229$5,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,490.4 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Tatsuro Taira | 27c | 27,729$7,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,536.97 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Joshua Van | 63c | 25,667$16,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,389.45 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…6815backed Tatsuro Taira | 61c | 25,558$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Joshua Van | 40c | 25,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Joshua Van | 40c | 24,800$9,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,880 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…1edcbacked Joshua Van | 41c | 24,453$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,452.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Tatsuro Taira | 45c | 23,287$10,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,544 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Joshua Van | 40c | 22,000$8,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,210.11 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Joshua Van | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…9d83backed Joshua Van | 41c | 19,909$8,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,746.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Tatsuro Taira | 11c | 18,797$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.4 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…02abbacked Joshua Van | 40c | 18,400$7,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,040 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Tatsuro Taira | 0c | 18,362$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Tatsuro Taira | 61c | 17,006$10,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,373.48 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8982…59fbbacked Tatsuro Taira | 61c | 16,393$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df3…d7e5backed Joshua Van | 40c | 14,886$5,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,931.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Tatsuro Taira | 60c | 14,243$8,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,520.44 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Tatsuro Taira | 60c | 14,197$8,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,470.76 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Tatsuro Taira | 59c | 12,500$7,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,375 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Tatsuro Taira | 64c | 11,939$7,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,610.34 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -7.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Joshua Van | 65c | 11,780$7,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,159.97 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Joshua Van | 40c | 10,971$4,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,547.38 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Joshua Van | 39c | 10,460$4,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,331.63 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Joshua Van | 39c | 10,101$3,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,124.76 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Joshua Van | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,099.92 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…427ebacked Tatsuro Taira | 58c | 9,239$5,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,370 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Joshua Van | 62c | 9,221$5,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,549.96 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8474…2511backed Joshua Van | 73c | 9,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Joshua Van | 40c | 8,705$3,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,223 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1895…efd2backed Tatsuro Taira | 60c | 8,333$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Joshua Van | 39c | 8,300$3,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,063 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Joshua Van | 40c | 8,000$3,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,769.29 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Tatsuro Taira | 62c | 8,000$4,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,930 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Tatsuro Taira | 24c | 8,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.99 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked Tatsuro Taira | 1c | 7,965$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Joshua Van | 39c | 7,742$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,722.66 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba6…ae0cbacked Joshua Van | 51c | 7,576$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,726.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Tatsuro Taira | 61c | 7,000$4,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,270 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…5240backed Tatsuro Taira | 60c | 6,667$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Joshua Van | 40c | 6,666$2,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,995.15 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Tatsuro Taira | 60c | 6,536$3,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,921.85 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Joshua Van | 40c | 6,220$2,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,731.99 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Joshua Van | 39c | 6,214$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,790.48 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Tatsuro Taira | 67c | 6,030$4,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,042.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Tatsuro Taira | 45c | 6,018$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,683.57 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Joshua Van | 38c | 5,989$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Tatsuro Taira | 1c | 5,810$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…d642backed Joshua Van | 52c | 5,741$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,742.09 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6944…5706backed Joshua Van | 40c | 5,632$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Joshua Van | 58c | 5,608$3,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.87 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Tatsuro Taira | 37c | 5,487$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.79 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Tatsuro Taira | 33c | 5,382$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.8 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Tatsuro Taira | 61c | 5,381$3,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,268.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…0396backed Tatsuro Taira | 61c | 5,271$3,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,216.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Joshua Van | 40c | 5,185$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,111 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Joshua Van | 39c | 5,130$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,129.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c5…23bcbacked Joshua Van | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…9889backed Joshua Van | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Tatsuro Taira | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Tatsuro Taira | 61c | 4,918$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56f9…c2acbacked Joshua Van | 40c | 4,912$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,946.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…86b0backed Joshua Van | 40c | 4,630$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,778 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Tatsuro Taira | 61c | 4,500$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Tatsuro Taira | 1c | 4,418$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Joshua Van | 36c | 4,272$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,737.25 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…a2c6backed Joshua Van | 57c | 4,224$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…c047backed Joshua Van | 40c | 4,052$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Tatsuro Taira | 75c | 4,000$2,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993.9 | 57 | 75.4%43 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x370f…c4e4backed Joshua Van | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Joshua Van | 29c | 3,982$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +49%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Tatsuro Taira | 12c | 3,959$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.74 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Tatsuro Taira | 61c | 3,929$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.42 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Tatsuro Taira | 61c | 3,900$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x893a…29dcbacked Joshua Van | 25c | 3,695$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,778.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…fbbcbacked Tatsuro Taira | 61c | 3,670$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.9 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…93f5backed Joshua Van | 80c | 3,554$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.5 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Tatsuro Taira | 61c | 3,500$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45b…627bbacked Tatsuro Taira | 61c | 3,400$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…89d7backed Tatsuro Taira | 60c | 3,334$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.4 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Tatsuro Taira | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Tatsuro Taira | 29c | 3,320$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.8 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2aa…deecbacked Tatsuro Taira | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Joshua Van | 31c | 3,225$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.25 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Joshua Van win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will Tatsuro Taira win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.