TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb175…0396

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Mls, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT3852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,872Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,872.03
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$688Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$688
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$102.24
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Colombia to score first vs. Portugal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$56
Croatia to score first vs. Ghana?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.5
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$159.44
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$100.69
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.5
United States leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$104.67
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.5
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+189.9%+$207.89
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+149.9%+$215.13
Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$113
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$103.57
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$104.24
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$106.25
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$181.03
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Detroit Pistons vs. Phoenix Sunsbacked Detroit Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.95
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
All 3 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+128.4%+$235.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$445.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,216.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.