Fifa International · resolved market
Croatia to score first vs. Ghana?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27329758ab94ab0ee0fbf76b31b3299cb9c0f466271ce7d1f1d25ad2653d03b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 57c | 6,478$3,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,783.54 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Yes | 59c | 4,221$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.75 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c8…7cc8backed No | 43c | 4,186$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.9 | 122 | 41%50 W · 72 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 58c | 1,814$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.79 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 57c | 927$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.44 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed No | 41c | 779$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.39 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 40c | 660.68$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.28 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked No | 43c | 509.96$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.28 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 44c | 498.37$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.28 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed No | 43c | 492.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.98 | 243 | 44.9%109 W · 134 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed Yes | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 191 | 58.1%111 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…7b2fbacked No | 7c | 377.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 112 | 16.1%18 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…0396backed No | 44c | 362.5$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 38c | 355$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.9 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 43c | 353.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.22 | 143 | 44.8%64 W · 79 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 61c | 328.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.72 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 70c | 303.47$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.87 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 11c | 269.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 62c | 250$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +12.4wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8547…ec4fbacked Yes | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0701…f939backed No | 44c | 187.5$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb489…4944backed No | 44c | 186.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.89 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…0b0cbacked No | 44c | 186.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.89 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…c9eabacked No | 44c | 183.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.96 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087d…b872backed No | 44c | 183$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 42c | 180.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa850…9b11backed No | 44c | 180$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 152 | 29.6%45 W · 107 L | -11.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 43c | 179.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…b908backed No | 44c | 177$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.88 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked No | 43c | 175.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…4eb3backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 179 | 30.7%55 W · 124 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0415…0ae5backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x634f…30a7backed Yes | 59c | 167.29$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.59 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…6ac0backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…fb00backed No | 44c | 142.52$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 82 | 64.6%53 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd252…4058backed No | 44c | 114$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a8…2a71backed No | 43c | 113.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 35c | 109.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7221…f8acbacked No | 44c | 83.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2c…898abacked No | 43c | 81.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…a388backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 41c | 71.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfa…dcdebacked Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b6…a582backed Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad1c…6016backed No | 44c | 55.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 297 | 66.7%198 W · 99 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe714…0b4abacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50a…2fd6backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58e…a0b0backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Yes | 56c | 46.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd565…d785backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a99…d92ebacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…8aacbacked Yes | 58c | 34.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…e18fbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…2a16backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe142…fe7fbacked Yes | 63c | 31.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab9…586dbacked Yes | 57c | 29.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83a…e7febacked No | 44c | 28.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dce…3409backed No | 44c | 27.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…720fbacked Yes | 57c | 27.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cba…351cbacked No | 44c | 27.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd301…f176backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…1cc8backed Yes | 57c | 26.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 193 | 59.1%114 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…8643backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…2b60backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1b89backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Croatia to score first vs. Ghana?this page
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Neither team to score first?No won
- Ghana to score first vs. Croatia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.