Mls · resolved market
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-07-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaf55fed063e120259631bba6d3f716a08bd537deab599efd472de8b97c5d7ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $269,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $263,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cbe…1f4ebacked No | 64c | 114,803$73,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,677.02 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 21,544$7,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,949.81 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 34c | 15,262$5,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,040.68 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 34c | 12,976$4,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,564.23 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Yes | 36c | 12,934$4,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,310.82 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 35c | 10,981$3,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,123.72 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 50c | 9,933$4,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,954.94 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked No | 76c | 9,012$6,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,885.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 70cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked No | 11c | 8,033$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.64 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 37c | 7,052$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,442.91 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 35c | 6,268$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,043.7 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 63c | 6,120$3,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,864.77 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed No | 17c | 5,698$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.47 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.96 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed No | 46c | 4,611$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.26 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed No | 14c | 4,598$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.89 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Yes | 35c | 4,023$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.71 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 6c | 3,638$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.24 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 35c | 3,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 32c | 3,053$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.49 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Yes | 37c | 3,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 38c | 2,621$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.48 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed No | 47c | 2,603$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.27 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 57c | 2,252$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.69 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 57c | 2,240$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.32 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 55c | 2,147$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.82 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 36c | 2,083$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.33 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 54c | 2,013$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.99 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Yes | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Yes | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.98 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 35c | 1,847$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.67 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 31c | 1,413$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.37 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 41c | 1,366$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.75 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 36c | 1,310$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.56 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a31…a9dabacked Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 52c | 999.99$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 37c | 972$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.14 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 55c | 950.92$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.46 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked No | 34c | 947.47$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.46 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 35c | 907.69$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Yes | 72c | 833.6$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 54c | 833.31$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.32 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 27c | 802.29$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.33 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Yes | 71c | 780.25$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 36c | 768$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.08 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 66c | 758.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 35c | 751.82$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.82 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Yes | 35c | 745.23$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 76c | 692.03$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.07 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 10c | 653.31$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.64 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 35c | 644$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.33 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes | 34c | 600$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes | 35c | 590.49$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.22 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 11c | 561.81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c02…b65fbacked Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Yes | 37c | 551.08$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.61 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 35c | 525.24$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.89 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 35c | 521.74$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.96 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 17c | 519.66$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.35 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 52c | 517.77$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.01 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 59c | 500$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.34 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Yes | 33c | 459.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.33 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…f400backed No | 11c | 451.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 67c | 428.26$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.3 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 35c | 426.21$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.69 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…492ebacked Yes | 74c | 422.76$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +204.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…0396backed Yes | 44c | 418.98$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 39c | 409$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.54 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Yes | 38c | 399$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.38 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Yes | 35c | 387.6$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.02 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 41c | 387.46$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 50c | 383.28$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.37 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 54c | 355.56$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 35c | 340.58$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.06 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 52c | 326$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.52 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…e2dbbacked Yes | 59c | 316.88$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 59c | 304.47$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.47 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 51c | 280.57$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.28 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 39c | 279.6$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.14 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x838f…a741backed Yes | 57c | 258.87$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 35c | 257.03$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.07 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed No | 61c | 250.69$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.3 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed No | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 35c | 240.39$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.25 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 36c | 240$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Yes | 35c | 214.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.29 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 36c | 211$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.19 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 37c | 209$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.67 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 35c | 203.44$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.29 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 53c | 201.58$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.1 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 16c | 200$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.46 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-07-25?this page
- Will Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-07-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.