Mls · resolved market
Will Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c0abb8a171caeab2702bc2e1bd0aec20634d1491a4ade70dff0570783030114
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 76c | 5,983$4,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.93 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 30c | 3,807$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.98 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 10c | 3,476$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.91 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 78c | 2,278$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.16 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 77c | 2,161$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.12 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed No | 74c | 1,713$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 36c | 1,600$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.2 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 22c | 1,582$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.14 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 75c | 1,504$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.19 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 14c | 1,395$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.42 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked No | 63c | 1,200$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.53 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 71c | 907.27$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.84 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 33c | 815$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 69c | 814.76$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.54 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 21c | 667.19$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.9 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 69c | 610.67$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.27 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 40c | 600$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.23 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Yes | 23c | 590.05$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.98 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 28c | 453$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.21 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 21c | 441.67$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.53 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 55c | 396.66$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.81 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 373.18$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.18 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…8593backed Yes | 22c | 370.5$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…639abacked Yes | 34c | 352.94$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 17c | 321.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +18.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 60c | 311$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.19 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 305.65$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.85 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 27c | 292.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b9…c40bbacked Yes | 19c | 291.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 23c | 249.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed Yes | 18c | 246.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 25c | 240.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 76c | 232.13$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 20c | 229.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 23c | 215.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 31c | 185$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 23c | 184.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e0…3a5fbacked Yes | 12c | 169.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 33c | 160$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.97 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 70c | 156.48$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…5607backed Yes | 16c | 156$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 67c | 149.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yes | 19c | 148.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x929e…6a87backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 22c | 142.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb12…d1b3backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 73c | 131.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x324f…15b1backed Yes | 28c | 112.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 67c | 111.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Yes | 29c | 110.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 12c | 109$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…5b70backed Yes | 20c | 105.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +151%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 16c | 104.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0598…3d83backed Yes | 30c | 100.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed No | 78c | 96.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yes | 27c | 84.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 77c | 78.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 21c | 78.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Yes | 25c | 76.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 19c | 74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 74c | 69.29$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 21c | 64.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 77c | 64.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2932…3ae8backed Yes | 20c | 59.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Yes | 22c | 59.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 33c | 56.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes | 26c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Yes | 22c | 54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Yes | 28c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Yes | 29c | 52.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed92…fbf2backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed No | 78c | 46.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2df7…7f76backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed No | 75c | 34.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…c338backed Yes | 34c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bad…b8a8backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked No | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed No | 74c | 25.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 78c | 25.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Yes | 67c | 25.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 79c | 17.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 78c | 15.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 15.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?this page
- Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-07-25?Yes won
- Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-07-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.