Mls · resolved market
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-07-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63d313d88731b8f8359c0204b476af4fb209b8a01916e38158f7c8f11f726c90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $999,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,004,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $999,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 312 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Yes | 45c | 449,864$202,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202,039.78 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbe…1f4ebacked Yes | 41c | 272,888$111,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,949.29 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed No | 55c | 118,210$65,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,950.39 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 54c | 114,905$62,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,490.3 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 76,075$43,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,101.97 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x381b…4d74backed No | 55c | 67,800$37,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,509.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 55c | 39,231$21,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,752.22 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 57c | 38,575$22,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,507.47 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed Yes | 46c | 34,631$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc163…aed8backed Yes | 40c | 24,317$9,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,709.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 55c | 19,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,500 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 57c | 18,760$10,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,066.8 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +6.2wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 18,535$10,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,936.87 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 60c | 17,842$10,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,163.58 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 17,500$10,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,490 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 56c | 17,074$9,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,512.41 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed No | 57c | 15,816$9,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 59c | 15,050$8,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,122 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 55c | 14,679$8,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,542.87 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 56c | 13,959$7,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,105.5 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed No | 56c | 13,110$7,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,770.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 64c | 12,808$8,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,652.27 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 60c | 12,500$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed No | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928.57 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 56c | 8,697$4,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,813.18 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Yes | 47c | 8,576$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Yes | 47c | 8,414$3,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,954.05 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3355…dd2fbacked No | 56c | 7,887$4,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,470.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 7,050$4,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.41 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 56c | 6,524$3,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,892.6 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed No | 54c | 5,555$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.28 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c81…8f47backed Yes | 45c | 5,473$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 55c | 5,380$2,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,404.9 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 55c | 5,124$2,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.84 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 30c | 4,916$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.18 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked No | 54c | 4,907$2,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.14 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 57c | 4,401$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.36 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed No | 56c | 4,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 58c | 3,999$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ca…7895backed No | 59c | 3,870$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed No | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 56c | 3,783$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.6 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x047f…bf3abacked No | 55c | 3,728$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 48c | 3,691$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.06 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 57c | 3,291$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.36 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 59c | 3,160$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.05 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 50c | 3,084$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.16 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 38c | 2,992$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.7 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 63c | 2,778$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.38 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…bc0dbacked No | 60c | 2,620$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 59c | 2,521$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.19 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 58c | 2,426$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.45 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 58c | 2,395$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.35 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 59c | 2,063$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.33 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked No | 53c | 2,003$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.79 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked No | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 56c | 2,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 61c | 1,889$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.82 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 57c | 1,847$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.67 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 56c | 1,830$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.44 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 47c | 1,675$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.61 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 57c | 1,532$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.83 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked No | 38c | 1,529$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.72 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 55c | 1,528$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.39 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 48c | 1,522$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.2 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed No | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 59c | 1,480$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.62 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 44c | 1,447$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.62 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 46c | 1,383$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.25 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 62c | 1,211$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.96 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 59c | 1,200$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 37c | 1,148$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.76 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 55c | 1,147$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.92 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 59c | 1,117$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.12 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 57c | 1,073$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.56 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 59c | 1,032$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.61 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed No | 58c | 999.98$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 50c | 997.76$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.97 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 60c | 955$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.39 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 43c | 941$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.44 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x589e…421cbacked Yes | 37c | 934.19$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…9c73backed Yes | 44c | 904.71$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.45 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 45c | 891$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.21 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 52c | 887.93$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.72 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 58c | 869.03$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.63 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 64c | 819.7$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.09 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Yes | 51c | 779.79$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 45c | 776$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.61 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 68c | 727$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.3 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 61c | 702$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.51 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 43c | 697.71$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.46 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed No | 57c | 667.45$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.74 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 57c | 662.61$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.97 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 62c | 645.83$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.83 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-07-25?this page
- Will Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?No won
- Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-07-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.